Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City Royals - 6/26/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians
Wednesday, June 26, 2019 at 12:10 PM (Progressive Field)
Over: 9 (+100) / Under: 9 (-120)
TV: FS-Kansas City, SportsTime Ohio
The Kansas City Royals and the Cleveland Indians meet in game three of their four game AL Central division set in MLB action from Progressive Field on Wednesday.
The Kansas City Royals will look to take a series lead after evening the set up at one win apiece following an 8-6 win in game two on Tuesday. Hunter Dozier had a home run and four RBIs while Whit Merrifield had a double while going 2 for 5 with two RBIs. Nick Lopez and Lucas Duda each had an RBI to finish off KC’s scoring in the win with Duda adding a double. Martin Maldonado went 2 for 4 with a double while Humberto Arteaga and Cheslor Cuthbert each had two hits as well. Alex Gordon added a base knock to finish off the Royals’ offense as a team in the win. Glenn Sparkman allowed five runs on seven hits over 5.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Kevin McCarthy got the win to improve to 2-1 on the year while Ian Kennedy closed out the 9th for his 10th save of the season. Jakob Junis will start game two and is 4-6 with a 5.18 ERA and 84 strikeouts this season. In his career, Junis is 2-2 with a 5.87 ERA and 29 strikeouts against Cleveland.
The Cleveland Indians will look to bounce back after dropping game two on Tuesday, snapping their four game winning streak in the process. Tyler Naquin had a home run and two RBIs while Roberto Perez, Mike Freeman and Carlos Santana each had solo home runs with Perez and Freeman going 2 for 4 at the dish. Oscar Mercado added an RBI to round out Cleveland’s scoring as a team in the win while Francisco Lindor had a pair of doubles while Jose Ramirez chipped in a base hit to finish off Cleveland’s offense as a team in the losing effort. Shane Bieber allowed three runs, two earned, on five hits while striking out six over 5.1 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Brad Hand failed to record an out while allowing five runs in the 9th, taking the loss to fall to 4-3 on the year. Trevor Bauer will start game two and is 5-6 with a 3.69 ERA and 122 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bauer is 3-4 with a 3.01 ERA and 71 strikeouts against Kansas City.
Kansas City is 18-46 in their last 64 road games and 2-5 in Junis’ last 7 starts against a team with a winning record while the over is 8-1 in Junis’ last 9 division starts. Cleveland is 7-1 in their last 8 division games and 4-1 in their last 5 home games while the over is 6-2 in Bauer’s last 8 home starts. Cleveland is 0-5 in Bauer’s last 5 home starts against Kansas City.
The plus money with the Royals is tempting, given that Junis has allowed two earned runs in each of his last three starts and that the Royals have strung wins together here and there lately. However, the Royals aren’t consistent enough to provide value in the underdog role and Junis has been beaten up in his career against the Tribe. On the other hand, Cleveland has been playing the better baseball, but I’m not laying this kind of juice and I have no confidence in the RL as Bauer has given up at least four runs in eight of his last eleven starts. Instead, I’m going to side with the over as I see this one hitting double digits just like Tuesday night’s affair.