Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins - 7/13/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians
Saturday, July 13, 2019 at 6:10 PM (Progressive Field)
Over: 8.5 (-111) / Under: 8.5 (-116)
TV: FS-North, SportsTime Ohio
The Minnesota Twins and the Cleveland Indians meet in game two of a three game AL Central division set in MLB action from Progressive Field on Saturday.
The Minnesota Twins will look to build on a series opening 5-3 win over the Tribe on Friday night. Jorge Polanco had a double and two RBIs while Nelson Cruz and Mitch Garver each had a solo home run. Max Kepler added an RBI to round out Minnesota’s scoring as a team in the win while Miguel Sano had a double. Luis Arraez, Ehire Adrianza and Byron Buxton each had a base hit as well to round out Minny’s offense in the victory. Kyle Gibson gave up three runs, one earned, on four hits while striking out five over 3.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Zack Littell got the win in relief to improve to 2-0 while Taylor Rogers closed out the final two innings for his 13th save of the season. Jake Odorizzi will start game two and is 10-4 with a 3.15 ERA and 96 strikeouts this season. In his career, Odorizzi is 1-4 with a 5.25 ERA and 49 strikeouts against Cleveland.
The Cleveland Indians will look to bounce back after letting the series opener slip away on Friday. Roberto Perez had two RBIs while Carlos Santana added a solo home run to round out Cleveland’s scoring as a team in the loss. Jose Ramirez went 2 for 4 while Jason Kipnis and Oscar Mercado each had a base hit as well as the Tribe cranked out just six hits as a team in the losing effort. Mike Clevinger gave up one run on four hits over five innings of work while striking out six, not factoring in the decision. Oliver Perez took the loss in relief, falling to 2-2 on the year with the L. Trevor Bauer will start game two and is 8-6 with a 3.61 ERA and 149 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bauer is 6-8 with a 4.35 ERA and 128 strikeouts against Minnesota.
Minnesota is 30-12 in their last 42 division games and 4-1 in Odorizzi’s last 5 division starts while the over is 7-0 in Odorizzi’s last 7 road starts against a team with a winning record. Cleveland is 6-0 in Bauer’s last 6 starts and 5-2 in their last 7 home games while the over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against a right-handed starter. Minnesota is 0-6 in Odorizzi’s last 6 starts against Cleveland and Cleveland is 7-3 in Bauer’s last 10 starts against Minnesota.
I’ve gone back and forth on both sides, as the plus money is tempting with Minnesota, but Cleveland had been rolling prior to their loss on Friday. So instead of trying to pick a side, I’m going to side with the over. Odorizzi has looked mortal in his last few starts, giving up 17 runs, 16 earned, in 18.1 innings across his last four starts, and he hasn’t had much luck in his career against the Indians with a career ERA over five against Cleveland. On the other hand, Bauer has alternated good starts and blowup starts, and if that pattern continues, Bauer’s due to get shelled here. Furthermore, Minnesota has already pushed across five runs in Bauer’s last start against the Twins just over a month ago. I think both offenses are capable of scoring some runs on Saturday, so I’ll take the over in what should be a double-digit total when all is said and done.