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Cubs vs. Reds - 4/13/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cincinnati Reds (4-1) at Chicago Cubs (2-2)
Date & Time Monday April 13, 2015, 8:05 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Chicago Cubs -155 / Cincinnati Reds +145 --- Over/Under:
TV Channel
CSN-Chicago, FS-Ohio
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MLB | Cincinnati Reds (4-1) at Chicago Cubs (2-2)

The Chicago Cubs and the Cincinnati Reds face off on Monday at Wrigley Field for game one of their NL Central series.

The Chicago Cubs return home from their brief road trip to Colorado with a 3-2 record; a half of a game behind the Reds in the NL Central standings. As a team the Cubs are hitting .197 with Starlin Castro hitting .300, Chris Coughlin hitting .250, and Dexter Fowler hitting .238. As a team the Cubs pitching staff has an ERA if 3.34 with the starters at 3.68 and the bullpen at 2.77. For game one against the Reds the Cubs start Jon Lester who allowed eight hits and three runs while striking out six over 4.1 innings to take the loss against the Cardinals.

The Cincinnati Reds are 4-2 so far this season and that is good enough to lead the NL Central. As a team the Reds are hitting .200 with Joey Votto hitting .333, Todd Frazier hitting .292, and Billy Hamilton and Zack Cozart hitting .250. The Reds pitching staff has an ERA of 2.95 with the bullpen at 4.43. For game one at Wrigley the Reds start Mike Leake who allowed five hits and three runs while striking out six over 5.2 innings getting a no decision in his first start of the season facing the Pirates.

Chicago is 6-1 as a home favorite, 8-3 against the NL Central, and 1-4 in game one of a series. Cincinnati is 8-29 in their last 37 road games, 7-20 in game one of a series, and 0-5 in Leake’s last five road starts. Cincinnati is 20-7 in their last 27 games in Chicago.

I am less than sold on Jon Lester and his poor fielding is a huge liability and I look for the Reds to continue their stranglehold on the Cubs.

Cincinnati Reds +130

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