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Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox - 7/5/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers
Date & Time Friday July 5, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Comerica Park
Detroit, Michigan
The Line
Boston Red Sox -215 / Detroit Tigers +195 O/U: 10.5
TV Channel
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The Boston Red Sox and the Detroit Tigers will meet up on the MLB diamond Friday to kick off their weekend set.

Boston is coming off three games against the Blue Jays. After a win Tuesday 10-6 and a loss Wednesday 6-3, in the Thursday rubber match the Red Sox eked one out 8-7.

For Friday’s game, the Red Sox will be sending out Eduardo Rodriguez in the start. Rodriguez is 8-4 with a 4.79 ERA and 102 Ks this season so far.

Over on the Tigers’ side, they’re fresh out of a series versus the White Sox. Detroit lost the first two games of that set 7-5 and 9-6, then in the Thursday game the Tigers won 11-5.

Detroit is going with Gregory Soto on Friday in the start. Across 21.1 innings and an 0-2 mark so far, Soto has an 8.44 ERA with 15 Ks and 12 BBs.

The Red Sox are 5-1 in their last six in game one of a series and 7-2 in their last nine versus the AL Central. The over is 13-5 in Boston’s last 18 versus the AL Central and 4-0 in their last four in game one of a series.

Meanwhile, the Tigers are 15-38 in their last 53 Friday games and 0-4 in their last four in game one of a series. The under is 6-1-1 in Detroit’s last eight home games and the over is 4-1-1 in their last six Friday games.

Soto doesn’t have much of a sample size to draw from, but he’s been okay over his last couple of starts. In that span, he’s given up three earned (all in one game) in 7.2 total innings. Trouble there is, Soto also has four strikeouts and four walks in that span and hasn’t gone past the fourth inning in any appearance this year.

I can’t find a whole lot of reasons to think Detroit will win this game, so I’m going Red Sox here.

Boston Red Sox -215

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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