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Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals - 5/5/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers
Date & Time Sunday May 5, 2019, 1:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Comerica Park
Detroit, MI
The Line
Kansas City Royals -122 / Detroit Tigers +113 -- O/U: 8.5
TV Channel
FS-Detroit, FS-Kansas City
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The Kansas City Royals and the Detroit Tigers meet in the rubber match of their three game AL Central division set from Comerica Park in MLB action on Sunday.

The Kansas City Royals will look to take the set after taking game two on Saturday by a final score of 15-3. Alex Gordon had a home run and five RBIs while going 3 for 5 at the dish while Adalberto Mondesi went 2 for 4 with a triple, a double and three RBIs. Jorge Soler had a double and two RBIs while Whit Merrifield blasted a solo homer and Ryan O’Hearn, Kevin Gutierrez, Martin Maldonado and Billy Hamilton each had RBIs to cap off KC’s scoring as a team in the win. Hunter Dozier added a pair of hits as well in the victory for the Royals. Homer Bailey got the win to improve to 3-3 this season after allowing two runs on seven hits while striking out four over six innings of work. Brad Keller will start game three and is 2-3 with a 4.07 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. In his career, Keller is 1-2 with a 2.81 ERA and 5 strikeouts against Detroit.

The Detroit Tigers will look to bounce back after a beatdown in game two on Saturday. Jeimer Candelario went 2 for 5 with a home run and two RBIs while Ronny Rodriguez added a solo shot to cap off Detroit’s scoring as a team in the losing effort. Nick Castellanos, Miguel Cabrera, John Hicks, Jordy Mercer and Harold Castro each had base hits as well in the defeat. Tyson Ross took the loss, falling to 1-4 on the year after allowing five runs on seven hits over just 1.1 innings of work. Spencer Turnbull will start the finale and is 2-2 with a 2.53 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. This will be Turnbull’s second career start against Kansas City.

Kansas City is 4-9 in Keller’s last 13 road starts and 5-21 in their last 26 Sunday games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 division games. Detroit is 2-6 in their last 8 games overall and 3-7 in their last 10 division games while the under is 4-0 in Turnbull’s last 4 starts overall. Kansas City is 1-4 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

The plus money with the Royals is tempting given how the Royals swung the bats on Saturday, however Keller has allowed five runs in back-to-back starts. Granted, both of those games came against one of the best in the majors so far in Tampa Bay, but with how Turnbull has pitched, the Royals need to limit the damage in a big way. Turnbull has allowed just one run in his last three starts over 17 innings of work. I’m a bit hesitant after Saturday, but I think the pitching matchup favors Detroit here so I’ll lay the juice with the Tigers in this spot.

Pick:
Kansas City -122

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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