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Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals - 8/11/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers
Date & Time Sunday August 11, 2019, 1:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Comerica Park
Detroit, MI
The Line
Detroit Tigers +115 / Kansas City Royals -135
TV Channel
FS-Detroit, FS-Kansas City
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Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Royals and the Detroit Tigers meet in the finale of their four game AL Central division set in MLB action from Comerica Park on Sunday.

The Kansas City Royals will look to earn a series split after taking game three on Saturday by a final score of 7-0. Whit Merifield and Jorge Soler each had two RBIs with Soler adding a home run while Merrifield had a double. Hunter Dozier had a triple and an RBI while Humberto Arteaga added a base hit as well in the victory. Mike Montgomery got the win to improve to 1-3 on the year after throwing seven shutout innings, giving up just four hits while striking out 12. Jakob Junis will start game four and is 7-10 with a 4.88 ERA and 130 strikeouts this season. In his career, Junis is 6-1 with a 3.19 ERA and 53 strikeouts against Detroit.

The Detroit Tigers will look to bounce back and win the series after dropping game three on Saturday. Brandon Dixon went 2 for 4 while Victor Reyes, Miguel Cabrera, Harold Castro and Travis Demeritte each chipped in a base hit as none of Detroit’s six hits went for extra bases in the losing effort. Spencer Turnbull took the loss, falling to 3-10 on the year after allowing two runs on three hits with three strikeouts over six innings of work. Daniel Norris will start the finale and is 3-9 with a 4.76 ERA and 98 strikeouts this season. In his career, Norris is 1-2 with a 3.95 ERA and 40 strikeouts against Kansas City.

Kansas City is 1-5 in their last 6 division games and 3-12 in their last 15 games overall while the under is 4-0 in Junis’ last 4 road starts. Detroit is 7-26 in Norris’ last 33 starts and 11-42 in their last 53 games overall while the under is 11-4-1 in their last 16 game four matchups. Detroit is 0-5 in Norris’ last 5 home starts against Kansas City while Kansas City is 6-2 in Junis’ last 8 starts against Detroit.

Getting a home dog can be tempting, but Detroit’s offensive deficiencies reared its ugly head once again on Saturday. I’m not a fan of laying juice with Kansas City, especially on the road, but Junis has been solid, giving up three runs across 19 innings of work in his last three road starts and he’s owned the Tigers for the better part of his career. Detroit just doesn’t seem to win with Norris on the mound, losing seven of his last eight starts and I just don’t have faith in the Tigers as it is. I’ll lay the juice with Kansas City in this spot for the series split.

Pick:
Kansas City Royals -135

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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