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Handicapping Los Angeles Dodgers World Series Odds Post Manny Machado Trade

Manny Machado Traded To The Los Angeles Dodgers
Date & Time Wednesday July 18, 2018, 11:00 AM (EDT)
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MLB | Manny Machado Traded To The Los Angeles Dodgers
Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers head into the second half of the season 10 games over .500 and a 0.5 game lead in the NL West. The Dodgers have lost just eight games since June 22 and have the second best run differential in the National League. Justin Turner is expected to be back at third base and now the trade for Manny Machado seems to be a done deal.

So, bet the Dodgers to win the World Series?

With the deal already being announced, you can find the Dodgers at +650 (BetOnline), meaning you can make $1,300 profit with a $200 bet. Honestly, you probably should have bet the Dodgers several weeks ago when the team wasn’t playing great baseball, the injuries were piling up and the odds dipped to the +1500 range. We knew it was only a matter of time before things turned around, guys got healthy and a potential big move would take place. This isn’t that shocking that the Dodgers are in this position. 

But to answer the original question, yes, the Dodgers are still a worthwhile bet at those odds. You’d like to see the Dodgers maybe make another move to add to their bullpen or rotation, but this is as balanced as any team in the National League and just got drastically better offensively. Guys like Cody Bellinger and Max Muncy now have protection in the lineup, and if Matt Kemp can continue this surprise season, all the better. The Dodgers now have nine layers with double-digit homers and three everyday players who have at least a .270 batting average.

It goes without saying that Machado is one of the top players in baseball, as he has 24 homers, 65 RBI, is batting .315, has an OPS of .963 and is even on pace to steal double-digit bags for the second time in his career. If Machado spent this whole season playing on a winning team with these numbers, he’d be in the conversation for MVP, especially when you throw in his defensive skills.

Machado also brings serious value to a Dodgers weakness, which is hitting left-handed pitchers. LAD has struggled the last two years hitting lefties and this year has been no different, as they’re batting just .232 on the season and are striking out once every 3.9 at bats. This season, Machado is hitting .280 with six homers in 100 at bats against lefties, and he’s hitting .281 against lefties for his career. The Dodgers could become less of an automatic fade when a southpaw is on the mound.

The Dodgers lineup is much deeper than it was 24 hours ago and this addition will take a lot of pressure off other guys who were asked to do too much with Turner, Corey Seager and Yasiel Puig injured. 

As to win the NL West, however, I’m not backing the Dodgers at -200 odds, as there’s zero value. Instead, I would be looking to bet on the San Francisco Giants at +1000 odds. The Giants pitching staff is as healthy as its been all season long and the offense should get Evan Longoria back in a couple of weeks. The Giants are only four games out of the division race and have yet to play healthy, consistent baseball. The Arizona Diamondbacks can’t put together consistent offense and I’m not a big believer that the Colorado Rockies first half finish is for real. Based on this price, you can’t go wrong with the Giants as a flier to win the division. 

Overall, the Dodgers were a much better World Series bet in June than they are now, but you’re still getting a slightly higher price than you did before the season, and they now have one of the top players in the world playing shortstop. 

The Dodgers are still a worthy bet to win their first World Series since 1988.

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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