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Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles - 6/9/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros
Date & Time Sunday June 9, 2019, 2:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Minute Maid Park
Houston, TX
The Line
Over: 8.5 (-105) / Under: 8.5 (-115)
TV Channel
MASN
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Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles and the Houston Astros meet in the rubber match of their three game set in MLB action from Minute Maid Park on Sunday.

The Baltimore Orioles will look to win the set after evening up the set at one win apiece on Saturday by a final score of 4-1. Richie Martin had a home run and three RBIs while Renato Nunez added a solo home run of his own and Hanser Alberto went 2 for 5 with a double. Trey Mancini, Pedro Severino and Anthony Santander each had base hits as well in the winning effort for the Orioles. Andrew Cashner gave up one run on four hits over six innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Paul Fry got the win to improve to 1-3 on the year while Miguel Castro picked up his 2nd save of the season. Dylan Bundy will start game three and is 3-6 with a 4.64 ERA and 64 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bundy is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA and 19 strikeouts against Houston.

The Houston Astros will look to get back on track after dropping game two on Saturday. Yuli Gurriel had the team’s lone RBI while Derek Fisher, Alex Bregman, Josh Reddick and Garrett Stubbs each had a base hit as none of Houston’s four hits went for extra bases in the losing effort. Framber Valdez gave up one run on five hits while striking out seven over seven innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Will Harris received the loss, falling to 1-1 on the year. Wade Miley will start game three and is 5-3 with a 3.39 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season. In his career, Miley is 1-2 with a 6.98 ERA and 7 strikeouts against Baltimore.

Baltimore is 6-21 in Bundy’s last 27 starts and 32-96 in their last 128 road games while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. Houston is 7-2 in Miley’s last 9 starts and 36-15 in their last 51 home games while the under is 15-7 in their last 22 games overall. Baltimore is 5-22 in the last 27 meetings between these two teams and 5-19 in the last 24 meetings between these two teams in Houston.

The RL holds no value right now with Houston as the two games have either seen a one run Astros victory or a Baltimore loss, and I’m not paying this kind of price, even with Houston, as I don’t know what I’m going to get from Miley who has a career ERA under seven against Baltimore. I also don’t feel comfortable pulling the trigger on the Orioles, so I’m going to side with the over here. The bats have been silent in the first two games, and given that each side’s starter has an ERA over six against the opposition in their respective careers, I think the offenses come to life on Sunday.

Pick:
Over: 8.5 (-105)

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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