Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers - 8/21/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports
Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros
Wednesday, August 21, 2019 at 7:10 PM (Minneapolis Armory)
The Line: Detroit Tigers +340 / Houston Astros -420 -- Over/Under: 8.5
TV: ATSW, FSDT
The Detroit Tigers and Houston Astros meet Wednesday in MLB action at Minute Maid Park.
The Detroit Tigers could use a win after losing eight of their last 10 games. The Tigers have scored 11 runs in their last three games and three or less runs in five of their last seven games. The Detroit Tigers have lost five of their last seven games when scoring three or less runs. Miguel Cabrera leads the Tigers with 113 hits and 49 RBI while Niko Goodrum and Brandon Dixon have combined for 184 hits and 88 RBI. Daniel Norris gets the ball, and he is 3-10 with a 4.82 ERA and 105 strikeouts this season. Norris is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA and eight strikeouts in his career against the Astros.
The Houston Astros look for a win after losing six of their last 10 games. The Astros have scored 15 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in 10 of their last 13 games. The Houston Astros have won 10 of their last 14 games when scoring four or more runs. Michael Brantley leads the Astros with 156 hits and 76 RBI while Yuli Gurriel and Alex Bregman have combined for 264 hits and 171 RBI. Justin Verlander gets the ball, and he is 15-4 with a 2.81 ERA and 228 strikeouts this season. Verlander is 2-1 with a 3.60 ERA and 31 strikeouts in his career against the Tigers.
The Tigers are 19-41 in their last 60 Wednesday games, 16-36 in their last 52 during game 3 of a series and 8-27 in Norris' last 35 starts. The Astros are 9-3 in their last 12 during game 3 of a series, 4-1 in Verlander's last 5 home starts and 50-23 in Verlander's last 73 starts. The Tigers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Houston and 0-7 in the last 7 meetings. The under is 5-1 in Verlander's last 6 starts overall. The under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 overall.
Norris has allowed 41 hits and 22 earned runs in his last 37.2 innings, and he has a 4.52 ERA and .285 allowed batting average on the road. Verlander has allowed 35 hits and 19 earned runs in his last 50 innings, and he has a 2.59 ERA and .177 allowed batting average at home. You'd have to go back to June of last year the last time the Astros have lost three straight games when Verlander has pitched. This price is absolutely insane, but that's what you get when you get a CY Young candidate and a title contender against one of the worst teams in baseball and the worst team in terms of money burned this season. I have no choice but to side with the Astros here, and I'll take the RL to shave down a crazy ML price.