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Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners - 8/4/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros
Date & Time Sunday August 4, 2019, 2:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Minute Maid Park
Houston, TX
The Line
Houston Astros / Seattle Mariners -- O/U:
TV Channel
ROOT-Northwest
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Thomas B. Shea-USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Mariners and the Houston Astros meet in the finale of their three game AL West division set in MLB action from Minute Maid Park on Sunday.

The Seattle Mariners will look to salvage a win and avoid the sweep after being no-hit for the second time this season in a 9-0 loss to the ‘Stros on Saturday night. Domingo Santana, J.P. Crawford and Keon Broxton each had a pair of strikeouts with the M’s going 0 for 26 with 8 Ks as a team in the losing effort. Marco Gonzales ended up with the loss, falling to 12-9 on the year after allowing four runs on eight hits over five innings of work. The Mariners did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time of posting.

The Houston Astros will look to sweep Seattle for the 3rd time this season after taking game two on Saturday. Michael Brantley went 3 for 5 with a pair of doubles and four RBIs while Alex Bregman had a triple and two RBIs. Jose Altuve belted a solo home run along with a double while Yordan Alvarez and Yuli Gurriel each had an RBI to finish off Houston’s scoring as a team in the win with Gurriel chipping in a double. Carlos Correa had two hits with a double while Martin Maldonado, Josh Reddick and Jake Marisnick each had a base hit as well in the losing effort. Aaron Sanchez got the win in his Astros debut, giving up just a pair of walks while striking out six over six innings of work while Will Harris, Joe Biagini and Chris Devenski each threw an inning of relief in the no-hitter. Justin Verlander will start the finale and is 14-4 with a 2.73 ERA and 196 strikeouts this season. In his career, Verlander is 13-9 with a 3.38 ERA and 191 strikeouts against Seattle.

Seattle is 10-32 in their last 42 road games and 12-31 in their last 43 division games while the over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games overall. Houston is 25-7 in Verlander’s last 32 division starts, 10-1 in Verlander’s last 11 starts against a team with a losing record and 39-15 in their last 54 home games while the under is 6-2 in their last 8 division games. Seattle is 20-42 in the last 62 meetings between these two teams and 0-4 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams in Houston while the Astros are 5-1 in Verlander’s last 6 starts against Seattle.

Even with no starter announced for Seattle, I’m expecting the Astros to be a heavy favorite with the AL Cy Young favorite on the mound in Verlander. But also, Houston has dominated Seattle this season, going 11-1 against the Mariners this season, leading the season series so far by a 69-44 score, including 19-2 in the first two games of this set. I just don’t see it being close with whoever is on the other side for the Mariners, so I’ll side with the Astros on the RL here as soon as the line is released.

Pick:
Houston Astros -1.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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