Texas Rangers at Houston Astros
|Date & Time||Sunday May 12, 2019, 2:10 PM (EDT)|
Minute Maid Park
Houston Astros -223 / Texas Rangers +204 == O/U: 10
The Texas Rangers and the Houston Astros meet in the finale of their four game AL West division set from Minute Maid Park in MLB action on Sunday.
The Texas Rangers will look to salvage a win after dropping the first three games of the set, including an 11-4 beatdown in game three on Saturday. All of Texas’ damage on the board came via the longball, as Ronald Guzman had a three run home run while Hunter Pence went 2 for 4 with a solo home run and a double. Danny Santana went 2 for 4 while Elvis Andrus, Rougned Odor, Asdrubal Cabrera and Jeff Mathis each had base hits as well in the loss. Drew Smyly took the loss, falling to 0-3 after allowing five runs, four earned, in just 4.2 innings of work. Adrian Sampson will start game four and is 0-2 with a 4.41 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. This will be Sampson’s second career start against Houston.
The Houston Astros will look to complete the four game sweep of the rival Rangers after taking game three on Saturday. Aledmys Diaz led the ‘Stros with a grand slam while Robinson Chirinos had two RBIs and Michael Brantley had a solo home run. Yuli Gurriel went 3 for 5 with an RBI while Josh Reddick, Carlos Correa and Tyler White each had RBIs as well in the victory. George Springer went 2 for 4 with a double while Alex Bregman added a base knock as well in the victory for Houston. Gerrit Cole got the win for Houston on the mound to improve to 4-4 on the year while allowing just one run on four hits while striking out 12 over six innings of work. Collin McHugh will start game four and is 3-4 with a 6.37 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. In his career, McHugh is 6-2 with a 4.95 ERA and 51 strikeouts against Texas.
Texas is 2-6 in Sampson’s last 8 starts and 5-11 in their last 16 games overall while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 Sunday games. Houston is 6-1 in their last 7 games overall and 0-4 in McHugh’s last 4 starts while the over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams in Houston.
I know McHugh has some solid career numbers against Texas, but there’s no way I’m laying this kind of juice with McHugh on the mound, even if the Astros have decisively won all three games in this series. McHugh is coming off of allowing eight runs in three innings against the Royals last time up, and he’s allowed eight or more runs in two of his last four starts. Not to mention Houston has lost each of McHugh’s last four starts. On the other hand, I can’t trust Texas to keep up with Houston offensively, but I can count on the Rangers to put some runs on the board and since Sampson is coming off of a rough start of his own where he allowed five runs in five innings against Pittsburgh, the over seems like a logical choice for me in this game.