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Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Indians - 7/4/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Cleveland Indians at Kansas City Royals
Date & Time Thursday July 4, 2019, 1:15 PM (EDT)
Location
Kauffman Stadium
Kansas City, Missouri
The Line
Kansas City Royals +108 / Cleveland Indians -118 O/U: 9.5
TV Channel
FSKC, STOH
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The Cleveland Indians and the Kansas City Royals will match up on the MLB diamond to finish their series on Thursday.

In the Tuesday opener, the Indians took a 9-5 victory. On Wednesday, Cleveland managed a 4-0 shutout.

For Thursday’s game, the Indians will be bringing out Zach Plesac for the start. Across his 42.1 innings and 3-3 record this year, Plesac has a 3.61 ERA with 32 Ks and 14 BBs.

Cleveland put up eight hits on Wednesday. Roberto Perez posted a two-run homer and plated two runs there.

Over on the Royals’ side, they’re going with Homer Bailey in the start Thursday. Bailey has 85.0 innings and a 7-6 record so far alongside a 4.87 ERA, 78 Ks and 36 BBs.

KC logged five hits on Wednesday but couldn’t translate anything to the scoreboard. Alex Gordon and Whit Merrifield each finished 2-for-4.

The Indians are 5-0 in their last five in game three of a series and 51-24 in the last 75 Thursday games. The under is 9-3 in Cleveland’s last 12 Thursday games as well.

Meanwhile, the Royals are 17-56 in their last 73 in game three of a series and 4-0 in Baley’s last four starts on grass. KC is 5-1 in Bailey’s last six starts versus the AL Central and 4-1 in his last five starts.

Plesac had a nice run of four quality starts in five tries going (3-2 in that time), but hit the wall in Baltimore his last time up with seven earned in 3.2 innings.

As for Bailey, he had a tough one as well his last time on the mound with five earned in 5.0 innings—but still managed a no-decision.

Both of these guys are better pitchers than their last starts indicated, so this should be a good matchup really. I’m leaning slightly toward Bailey and the Royals here but staying away.

Pick:
Kansas City Royals +108

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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