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Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers - 7/14/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals
Date & Time Sunday July 14, 2019, 2:15 PM (EDT)
Kauffman Stadium
Kansas City, MO
The Line
Kansas City Royals -135 / Detroit Tigers +115
TV Channel
FS-Detroit, FS-Kansas City
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The Detroit Tigers and the Kansas City Royals meet in the finale of their three game AL Central division set in MLB action from Kauffman Stadium on Sunday.

The Detroit Tigers will look to salvage a win and avoid the sweep after dropping the first two games of the set following a 4-1 loss in game two on Saturday. Harold Castro had a triple and an RBI to make up the lone run for the Tigers in the loss, while Brandon Dixon, John Hicks and Jordy Mercer each had base hits as the Tigers had just four hits as a team in the losing effort. Matt Boyd took the loss, falling to 6-7 on the year after allowing four runs on six hits while walking four and striking out ten over seven innings of work. Jordan Zimmermann will start the finale and is 0-6 with a 6.29 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season. In his career, Zimmermann is 4-1 with a 2.14 ERA and 48 strikeouts against Kansas City.

The Kansas City Royals will look to complete the sweep after Saturday’s victory. Cheslor Cuthbert had two RBIs while Bubba Starling and Nicky Lopez each had an RBI as well to finish off KC’s scoring in the victory. Whit Merrifield went 2 for 3 and Hunter Dozier added a double while Alex Gordon and Jorge Soler each had a base hit to sum up Kansas City’s offense in the winning effort. Brad Keller got the win to improve to 5-9 on the year after allowing just one run on four hits while striking out seven over eight innings of work. Ian Kennedy closed out the 9th for his 13th save of the season. Homer Bailey will start game three and is 7-6 with a 4.80 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bailey is 2-1 with a 2.36 ERA and 23 strikeouts against Detroit.

Detroit is 6-18 in Zimmermann’s last 24 starts and 11-40 in their last 51 games overall while the over is 5-0-1 in Zimmermann’s last 5 road starts against a team with a losing record. Kansas City is 5-2 in Bailey’s last 7 division starts and 30-61 in their last 91 games overall while the over is 4-0 in Bailey’s last 4 starts against a team with a losing record. Detroit is 1-4 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams and 1-6 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams in Kansas City.

Normally I’m not trying to lay this kind of juice with the Royals, but the bottom line here is that Kansas City has been the better team in the first two games of the series and Detroit just looks like a team that’s given up on the season already. It also doesn’t help matters that the Tigers just don’t win games with Zimmermann on the mound, losing each of his last eight starts and Zimm is coming off of a start in which he allowed seven runs before the end of the 4th inning. Bailey has pitched pretty decently as of late and given the situation between the two sides, I think that’s enough to lay the juice with the Royals for the sweep on Sunday.

Kansas City Royals -135

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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