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Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins - 4/3/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals
Date & Time Wednesday April 3, 2019, 1:15 PM (EDT)
Kauffman Stadium
Kansas City, Missouri
The Line
Kansas City Royals +125 / Minnesota Twins -135 O/U: 8.5
TV Channel
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Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Twins and the Kansas City Royals will match up on the MLB diamond from Kauffman Stadium on Wednesday.

In the opener on Tuesday, we had a 10-inning game as Nelson Cruz hit the eventual game-winning RBI single in a 5-4 Twins victory.

The Twins will be sending out RHP Kyle Gibson on Wednesday in the start. In 2018, Gibson logged 32 starts with a 10-13 record, a 3.62 ERA, 177 hits and 179 Ks across 196.2 total innings of work.

Byron Buxton and Nelson Cruz shared the Twins hits lead coming into Tuesday, each with four knocks and a combined five RBI between them. In game one, Cruz bagged two hits and three RBI and Buxton plated a run.

Over on the Royals side, they’re going with Homer Bailey on Wednesday. In a pretty miserable 2018 campaign, Bailey put up a 1-14 record over 20 starts alongside a 6.09 ERA with 75 Ks in 106.1 innings.

In the losing effort Tuesday, Kansas City’s Adalberto Montesi put up a solo homer among three hits and two RBI. Chris Owings put up a triple and a run as well.

The Twins are 4-1 in their last five Wednesday games and 2-6 in Gibson’s last eight starts in game two of a series. Minnesota is 1-4 in Gibson’s last five Wednesday starts and 1-5 in his last six starts versus a team with a winning record.

Meanwhile, the Royals are 9-3 in their last 12 in game two of a series and 2-5 in their last seven Wednesday games. The under is 4-0 in the Royals’ last four Wednesday games and they’re 2-7 in Gibson’s last nine starts versus the Twins.

We haven’t gotten to see Gibson yet this year, but if he finishes like last season the Twins should be in good shape here. Gibson put up a total of two earned over his final two 2018 starts across 13.1 innings.

As for Bailey, he logged a string of four starts with three earned apiece to finish out 2018, and went 5.0 innings in all but one of those (he went 6.0 in the August 20 start). The thing is, Bailey also finished with losses in each of his last seven games, so it makes sense to be leery.

I’m tentatively going with Gibson and the Twins here, but I don’t necessarily like either team at the moment.

Minnesota Twins -135

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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