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Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins - 6/21/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals
Date & Time Friday June 21, 2019, 8:15 PM (EDT)
Location
Kauffman Stadium
Kansas City, MO
The Line
Over: 10 (-110) / Under: 10 (-110)
TV Channel
FS-Kansas City, FS-North
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The Minnesota Twins and the Kansas City Royals meet in game two of their four game AL Central division set from Kauffman Stadium on Friday night.

The Minnesota Twins will look to bounce back after dropping game one on Thursday by a final score of 4-1. Jorge Polanco’s solo home run was the lone RBI that the Twins would put on the board in the loss, while C.J. Cron went 2 for 3 and Luis Arraez and Willians Astudillo each had a base knock as the Twins cranked out just five hits as a team in the loss. Jake Odorizzi took the loss, falling to 10-3 on the year after allowing four runs on eight hits over four innings of work. Martin Perez will start game two and is 7-3 with a 4.09 ERA and 74 strikeouts this season. In his career, Perez is 1-1 with a 3.08 ERA and 16 strikeouts against Kansas City.

The Kansas City Royals will look to build on a solid showing after their victory in game one on Thursday. Alex Gordon had a double and two RBIs while Martin Maldonado added a double and an RBI of his own. Lucas Duda went 2 for 4 with an RBI to round out KC’s scoring as a team in the win while Whit Merrifield added a double as well. Nicky Lopez and Jorge Soler each had two hits while Billy Hamilton added a base knock as well to cap off KC’s offense in the victory. Glenn Sparkman got the win to improve to 2-3 on the year after allowing one run on five hits over seven innings of work. Ian Kennedy closed out the 9th for his 9th save of the year. Jakob Junis will start game two and is 4-6 with a 5.33 ERA and 76 strikeouts this season. In his career, Junis is 0-1 with a 4.55 ERA and 32 strikeouts against Minnesota.

Minnesota is 54-26 in their last 80 games overall and 21-6 in their last 27 games following a loss while the over is 5-0 in Perez’s last 5 starts overall. Kansas City is 5-16 in their last 21 games following a win and 14-30 in their last 44 games against a left-handed starter while the over is 7-1 in Junis’ last 8 division starts. The over is 38-18-4 in the last 60 meetings between these two teams and 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams in Kansas City.

The plus money with Kansas City is worth a look considering that the Royals are surprisingly the team in better form here with the Twins losing four of their last five following Thursday’s loss. However, it doesn’t make it any easier to stomach taking the Royals who have been a profitable fade play this season and Junis is still a hard pitcher to trust period. Perez has allowed at least four runs in each of his last four starts, so combine that with everything listed above, and I think you have a game that could and should go over the total here.

Pick:
Over: 10 (-110)

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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