Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - 3/28/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers
Thursday, March 28, 2019 at 3:10 PM (Dodger Stadium)
Los Angeles Dodgers -153 / Arizona Diamondbacks +143 -- O/U: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet in MLB opening day action from Dodger Stadium on Thursday.
The Arizona Diamondbacks will look for a bounce back year after missing out on the postseason for the 6th time in their last 7 seasons after finishing the regular season at 82-80, good for 3rd in the NL West division last season. The Diamondbacks made a huge move, trading star slugger Paul Goldschmidt to the St. Louis Cardinals, leaving the door open for Jake Lamb to be Arizona’s new star after combining for 59 homers in 2016-17, but after having an injury-plagued 2018 season, it will be key for Lamb to get off to a good start for Arizona. The D-Backs also lost A.J. Pollock to the Dodgers but still have the services of outfielders like Ketel Marte, David Peralta and Steven Souza Jr. Zack Greinke is back as the staff ace on the mound, while Robbie Ray and Zack Godley are back as well. Luke Weaver is expected to be in the starting rotation as the major piece coming back from the Goldschmidt deal. Only time will tell if Arizona can fill the void left by their former star player and get back to the postseason. Zack Greinke will start game one and was 15-11 with a 3.21 ERA and 199 strikeouts this season. In his career, Greinke is 7-5 with a 3.77 ERA and 94 strikeouts against the Dodgers.
The Los Angeles Dodgers will look to build on yet another successful season, winning a 6th straight division title and making a 2nd straight World Series appearance with a record of 92-71, but the Dodgers failed to win the big one for the 2nd consecutive season, losing the World Series to Boston in five games. Los Angeles made a huge deal in the offseason, sending Alex Wood, Matt Kemp and Yasiel Puig to Cincinnati for prospects and Homer Bailey, who was almost immediately waived. The Dodgers made a splash of their own by signing the aforementioned Pollock from Arizona to fill the void left in center field. Clayton Kershaw is back as the staff ace, but with shoulder issues in the spring, it’s looking more and more likely that Kershaw will start the season on the injured list. That’s not good for a questionable Dodgers’ rotation. Rich Hill is getting up there in age and has had blister problems, Walker Buehler is still inexperienced, Hyun-Jin Ryu doesn’t have regular season longevity under his belt, and Kenta Maeda has been an average starter over the last year and a bit. It will be interesting to see how the Dodgers perform in what is essentially a championship or bust season for the team. Hyun-Jin Ryu will start game one and was 7-3 with a 1.97 ERA and 89 strikeouts last season. In his career, Ryu is 3-3 with a 3.77 ERA and 59 strikeouts against Arizona.
Arizona is 9-4 in Greinke’s last 13 division starts and 1-4 in their last 5 road games while the under is 13-5 in their last 18 road games. Los Angeles is 7-0 in Ryu’s last 7 division starts and 11-4 in their last 15 home games while the under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games overall. Arizona is 5-2 in Greinke’s last 7 starts against Los Angeles.
I’m tempted to side with Arizona and the plus money considering that Greinke has had a lot of recent success against his former team, but I’m just not solid on the D-Backs lineup from top to bottom. Ryu was solid at home last season, going 5-2 with a 1.15 ERA at Dodger Stadium and I simply think that Ryu’s home stats combined with the better lineup that the Dodgers possess all adds up to a Dodger victory on opening day, so I’ll lay the juice with the Dodgers in this one.