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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox World Series Game 4 - 10/27/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Boston Red Sox (117-57) at Los Angeles Dodgers (100-77)
Date & Time Saturday October 27, 2018, 8:09 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Los Angeles Dodgers -150 / Boston Red Sox +123 --- Over/Under:
TV Channel
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The Boston Red Sox and the Los Angeles Dodgers will meet up Saturday evening at Dodger Stadium for Game 4 of the MLB World Series. 

Boston took the first two games of this series, bagging a win 8-4 in Game 1 and 4-2 in Game 2. In the Friday Game 3, we had an absolutely epic battle that raged on for 18 innings (the longest in postseason history), and when the dust settled in the wee hours of the morning the Dodgers came away with a walk-off 3-2 victory courtesy of a Max Muncy homer. 

For Saturday’s matchup, the Sox are rolling with lefty Eduardo Rodriguez. So far this postseason, Rodriguez hasn’t been great, but he did strike out the only batter he faced in Game 3. 

Andrew Benintendi and JD Martinez led the way for the Sox heading into the Dodger Stadium games, each with 13 hits this postseason alongside 18 runs and 18 RBI between them. In Game 3, Martinez and Benintendi both came up empty. 

Over on the Dodgers’ side, they’re going with lefty Rich Hill for Game 4. Across three games in the postseason this year, Hill has a 2.61 ERA with 10 Ks in 10.1 innings. 

Coming into the World Series home games, Justin Turner brought 15 postseason hits, five runs, a homer and four RBI to lead the Dodgers. On Friday evening, Turner logged two hits and a pair of Ks. 

The Red Sox are 0-4 in their last four Saturday games and 5-1 in their last five road games. Boston is 11-1 in their last 12 in game four of a series and the under is 6-0-1 in their last seven in game four of a series. 

Meanwhile, the Dodgers are 12-3 in Hill’s last 15 Saturday starts and 6-1 in his last seven home starts. LA is 7-0 in Hill’s last seven starts and 5-0 in their last five Saturday games. 

Hill has some pretty solid postseason career stats, with 11 games, 44.0 innings, 56 Ks and a 3.27 ERA, but he’s also just 1-2 in the win/loss columns. This will be Hill’s third career World Series start; he allowed just one run in each of his two starts in last year’s Series. 

The pitching situation here is going to make for some interesting matchup thanks to that 18-inning marathon in Game 3, and with Eovaldi out of the mix the Sox are going to have to figure something out. These days I have trouble picking against the Boston juggernaut most games, though. I’m probably going Sox.

Boston Red Sox +123

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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