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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 10/17/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Milwaukee Brewers (101-68) at Los Angeles Dodgers (96-74)
Date & Time Wednesday October 17, 2018, 5:05 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Los Angeles Dodgers -180 / Milwaukee Brewers +160 --- Over/Under: 7
TV Channel
FS-1
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MLB | Milwaukee Brewers (101-68) at Los Angeles Dodgers (96-74)
Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet in game five of the NLCS from Dodger Stadium in MLB action on Wednesday.

The Milwaukee Brewers will look to take a series lead and close things out at home after dropping game four on Tuesday in 13 innings by a final score of 2-1. Domingo Santana’s pinch-hit RBI double accounted for the lone Milwaukee run in the loss, while Manny Pina added a double and Ryan Braun went 3 for 6 at the dish. Christian Yelich and Jesus Aguilar added a base hit as well to round out Milwaukee’s offense in defeat. Gio Gonzalez lasted just one inning before leaving due to injury, while Junior Guerra took the loss to fall to 0-1. Wade Miley will start game five and is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 5 strikeouts this postseason. In his career, Miley is 4-5 with a 3.55 ERA and 66 strikeouts against the Dodgers.

The Los Angeles Dodgers will look to take a 3-2 advantage back to Milwaukee to close things out after evening the set up at 2-2 with their win on Tuesday. Brian Dozier had an RBI while Cody Bellinger’s RBI single in the 13th gave the Dodgers the W. Austin Barnes, Yasiel Puig, Max Muncy and Manny Machago each had a base knock as none of L.A.’s seven hits went for extra bases in the win. Rich Hill threw five innings, allowing just one run while striking out six, not factoring in the decision, while Julio Urias got the win to improve to 1-0. Clayton Kershaw will start game five and is 1-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 5 strikeouts this postseason. In his career, Kershaw is 6-5 with a 2.86 ERA and 100 strikeouts against Milwaukee.

Milwaukee is 14-4 in their last 18 road games and 8-1 in Miley’s last 9 starts while the under is 7-1 in their last 8 games overall. Los Angeles is 9-3 in their last 12 games overall and 41-11 in Kershaw’s last 52 home starts while the under is 21-5-1 in their last 27 home games against a team with a winning road record. The over is 5-2 in Kershaw’s last 7 home starts against Milwaukee.

Kershaw didn’t look good in his first start against the Brewers in the LCS, while Miley threw 5.2 shutout innings. With that said, both bullpens looked phenomenal in game four, but that also means that the majority of both bullpens are going to be shot for this one, and realistically, while he’s pitched well, I can’t trust Miley to go punch-for-punch with the Dodgers’ ace. I’ll side with the Dodgers to take game five and put pressure on Milwaukee heading back home for game six. 

Pick:
Los Angeles Dodgers -180

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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