Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins
|Date & Time||Friday July 26, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)|
Arizona Diamondbacks: -1.5 (+100) / Miami Marlins: 1.5 (-120)
The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Miami Marlins meet in game one of a three game set in MLB action from Marlins Park on Friday.
The Arizona Diamondbacks will look to keep the momentum going after winning their series with Baltimore, taking Wednesday’s rubber match by a final score of 5-2. Casrson Kelly had a home run and three RBIs while Ketel Marte had a home run and two RBIs to round out Arizona’s scoring as a team in the win. Wilmer Flores went 2 for 4 at the dish while Tim Locastro, Christian Walker, Adam Jones, Jarrod Dyson, Nick Ahmed and Taylor Clarke each had a base hit as well in the victory. Clarke got the win to improve to 3-3 on the year after allowing two runs on four hits while striking out seven over six innings of work. Yoan Lopez closed out the 9th for his 1st save of the season. Zack Greinke will start game one and is 10-4 with a 2.93 ERA and 123 strikeouts this season. In his career, Greinke is 7-0 with a 3.19 ERA and 64 strikeouts against Miami.
The Miami Marlins will look to build some momentum after winning their series with the White Sox, taking Wednesday’s rubber match by a final score of 2-0. Cesar Puello had a home run and two RBIs while Miguel Rojas, Brian Anderson, Starlin Castro and Jorge Alfaro each had a base hit as the Fish cranked out just five hits as a team in the winning effort. Zac Gallen got the win to improve to 1-2 on the year after tossing seven shutout innings, giving up just two hits while striking out nine. Sergio Romo closed out the 9th for his 17th save of the year. Sandy Alcantara will start game one and is 4-9 with a 4.25 ERA and 80 strikeouts this season. This will be Alcantara’s first career start against Arizona.
Arizona is 37-14 in Greinke’s last 51 starts against a team with a losing record and 11-2 in their last 13 games following an off day while the over is 3-1-2 in their last 6 games overall. Miami is 0-4 in Alcantara’s last 4 starts and 6-13 in their last 19 games overall while the under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games against a team with a winning record. Arizona is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams and 4-0 in Greinke’s last 4 starts against Miami.
The plus money with Miami at home is tempting considering that the Marlins have provided value in an underdog role this season along with the fact that a series victor over Baltimore doesn’t mean a whole lot to me with Arizona. However, Greinke has a better ERA on the road than at home this season, and has never lost to the Marlins in his career. Alcantara has had his moments, but he’s still allowed four or more runs in three of his last four starts and the Marlins have also lost each of his last four starts. I just think that the pitching advantage will be too much for Miami to overcome, so I’ll side with Arizona here and to cut down the heavy juice, I’ll back the Diamondbacks on the RL.