Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins
|Date & Time||Saturday August 10, 2019, 6:10 PM (EDT)|
Atlanta Braves: -1.5 (-130) / Miami Marlins: 1.5 (+110)
The Atlanta Braves and the Miami Marlins meet in game three of a four game NL East division set in MLB action from Marlins Park on Saturday.
The Atlanta Braves will look to take a series lead after evening the set up at one win apiece following an 8-4 win over Miami in game two on Friday. Ronald Acuna Jr. went 3 for 5 with a pair of home runs and four RBIs while Ozzie Albies went 4 for 5 with a solo home run and a double. Adam Duvall, Charlie Culberson and Julio Teheran each had a base hit as well to cap off Atlanta’s scoring as a team in the win. Freddie Freeman, Tyler Flowers and Ender Inciarte each had a base hit as well in the victory. Teheran got the win on the mound to improve to 7-7 on the year after allowing one run on five hits while striking out seven over seven innings of work. Mike Soroka will start game three and is 10-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 97 strikeouts this season. In his career, Soroka is 2-0 with a 0.92 ERA and 19 strikeouts against Miami.
The Miami Marlins will look to bounce back after dropping game two on Friday. Starlin Castro went a perfect 4 of 4 at the dish with a home run and two RBIs while Brian Anderson and Garrett Cooper each added an RBI as well to finish off the Marlins’ offense as a team in defeat. Isan Diaz, Jorge Alfaro and Caleb Smith each chipped in base hits as well in the defeat. Smith took the loss on the mound, falling to 7-6 on the year after giving up six runs on ten hits while striking out four over 4.2 innings of work. Sandy Alcantara will start game three and is 4-10 with a 4.50 ERA and 93 strikeouts this season. This will be Alcantara’s second career start against Atlanta.
Atlanta is 11-1 in Soroka’s last 12 division and 6-1 in Soroka’s last 7 road starts while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. Miami is 0-4 in Alcantara’s last 4 division starts and 1-6 in Alcantara’s last 7 home starts while the over is 6-1-2 in their last 9 games overall. Atlanta is 35-16 in the last 51 meetings between these two teams and 54-26 in the last 80 meetings between these two teams in Miami.
Getting Miami and a heavy dose of plus money is tempting, but the Marlins just don’t win with enough consistency to give the plus money much value or make it worth taking a shot on. Especially when Soroka is on the other side, and has allowed just two earned runs in his career against Miami and is still undefeated on the road in his career, including going 6-0 with a 1.45 ERA on the road this season. In his last five road starts, Soroka has allowed seven earned across 32 innings of work. Add in the fact that Miami just can’t win much with Alcantara on the mound, losing 10 of his last 13 starts, and I think Saturday’s pick is one of the easier ones. Take Atlanta and the RL to shave down some of the heavy juice.