Skip to main content

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves - 8/11/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins
Date & Time Sunday August 11, 2019, 1:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Marlins Park
Miami, FL
The Line
Over: 8.5 (-115) / Under: 8.5 (-105)
TV Channel
FS-Florida, FS-South
Stream live sports and ESPN originals on-demand on ESPN+ for only $4.99 a month. Sign up now!
Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Braves and the Miami Marlins meet in the finale of their four game NL East division set in MLB action from Marlins Park on Sunday.

The Atlanta Braves will look to earn a series split after dropping game three on Saturday by a final score of 7-6 in 10 innings. Johan Camargo had a home run and three RBIs while Freddie Freeman went 2 for 5 with two RBIs. Ozzie Albies went 2 for 4 with a double and an RBI to finish off Atlanta’s scoring as a team in the loss while Charlie Culberson added a pair of hits as well in the defeat. Mike Soroka threw seven shutout innings, giving up just three hits while striking out six, not factoring in the decision. Sean Newcomb took the loss in relief to fall to 5-2 on the year. Mike Foltynewicz will start game four and is 3-5 with a 6.26 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. In his career, Foltynewicz is 5-2 with a 3.12 ERA and 61 strikeouts against Miami.

The Miami Marlins will look to win the series after taking game three on Saturday. Starlin Castro had a double and two RBIs while Curtis Granderson had a solo home run and Isan Diaz added a double with an RBI as well. Brian Anderson, Martin Prado and Jon Berti each had an RBI to cap off Miami’s scoring as a team in the win while Harold Ramirez went 2 for 5. Garrett Cooper and Bryan Holaday each had a base hit to finish off Miami’s offense in the victory. Sandy Alcantara gave up three runs on five hits while striking out six over 7.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Jeff Brigham got the win in relief to improve to 2-1 on the year. Hector Noesi will start game four and is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 3 strikeouts this season. This will be Noesi’s first career start against Atlanta.

Atlanta is 37-15 in their last 52 Sunday games and 27-14 in their last 41 division games while the over is 5-0 in their last 5 games overall. Miami is 2-7 in their last 9 games overall and 21-49 in their last 70 division games while the over is 8-1-2 in their last 11 games overall. Atlanta is 8-2 in Foltynewicz’s last 11 starts against Miami while the over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Miami.

I’ve gone back and forth on this game, as Miami has all of the momentum after rallying for the win in game three along with the fact that Foltynewicz still has an ERA over six on the road this season. However on the other hand, Foltynewicz looked decent in his first start since rejoining the rotation, and Noesi gave up five runs in five innings in his first start of the year, and this is still a pitcher in Noesi that’s pitched just once in the majors in the last four years. I can’t pick a side here, so I’m going to side with the over as this pitching matchup looks like one that can eclipse double digits when all is said and done.

Pick:
Over: 8.5 (-115)

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

Top 10 Sport Sites