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Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins - 7/30/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Minnesota Twins at Miami Marlins
Date & Time Tuesday July 30, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Marlins Park
Miami, FL
The Line
Miami Marlins +140 / Minnesota Twins -160
TV Channel
FS-Florida, FS-North
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Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Twins and the Miami Marlins meet in game one of a three game interleague set in MLB action from Marlins Park on Tuesday night.

The Minnesota Twins will look to build up some momentum after winning their series with the White Sox, including an 11-1 rout in the series finale on Sunday. Miguel Sano led the charge, going 3 for 4 with a home run and three RBIs while Max Kepler, Jorge Polanco, Nelson Cruz and Jonathan Schoop each had two RBIs with Polanco, Schoop and Kepler each belting a two run home run. Kepler also added a double while Nelson Cruz added a double with his two runs. Byron Buxton went 2 of 4 with a double while Luis Arraez added a base hit as well in the winning effort. Kyle Gibson gave up one run on seven hits while striking out nine over six innings of work to get the win and improve to 10-4 on the year. Jake Odorizzi will start the opener and is 11-5 with a 3.84 ERA and 108 strikeouts this season. In his career, Odorizzi is 2-1 with a 3.81 ERA and 30 strikeouts against Miami.

The Miami Marlins will look to keep the momentum going after winning five of their last six games, including a series victory over Arizona with an 11-6 win in Monday’s series finale. Miguel Rojas and Harold Ramirez each had two RBIs with Rojas adding a home run while Brian Anderson had a solo home run. Neil Walker added a double and an RBI while Garrett Cooper, Starlin Castro, Curits Granderson and Caleb Smith each had RBIs as well in the victory. Smith got the win to improve to 7-4 on the year after allowing four runs on four hits while striking out nine over seven innings of work. Zac Gallen will start the opener and is 1-2 with a 2.76 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. This will be Gallen’s first career start against Minnesota.

Minnesota is 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games and 2-8 in their last 10 games against the NL East while the under is 7-2 in their last 9 road games. Miami is 1-4 in Gallen’s last 5 starts and 5-1 in their last 6 games overall while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 interleague home games. The over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

Minnesota being favored on the road makes sense as the Twins still lead their division and Odorizzi is the more well-known commodity. However, Gallen has given up three runs or less in each of his first six major league starts, going at least five innings in five of them, including seven shutout innings last time up for his first major league win. Gallen would probably have better numbers if he actually got run support as Miami’s scored two runs or less in each of Gallen’s last four starts. Odoriszzi is coming off of a start where he allowed nine runs in four innings and has been shaky on the road lately. The Marlins are back in one of those grooves where they’re providing value in an underdog role, so I’ll take a shot with Miami and the plus money on Tuesday.

Miami Marlins +140

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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