Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets - 4/3/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
New York Mets at Miami Marlins
Wednesday, April 3, 2019 at 5:10 PM (Marlins Park)
The Line: New York Mets -238 / Miami Marlins +195 -- Over/Under: 7
TV: SNY, FSFL
The New York Mets and Miami Marlins meet Wednesday in MLB action at Marlins Park.
The New York Mets look for another victory to build on their solid 4-1 start to the season. The Mets have scored 18 runs in their last three games and five or more runs in their last four games. The New York Mets have won eight of their last 10 games when scoring more than two runs. Wilson Ramos leads the Mets with eight hits and four RBI while Michael Conforto and Pete Alonso have combined for 14 hits and six RBI. Jacob deGrom gets the ball, and he is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. deGrom is 4-6 with a 3.60 ERA and 121 strikeouts in his career against the Marlins.
The Miami Marlins could use a win to rebound from a sluggish 2-4 start to the season. The Marlins have scored 11 runs in their last three games and three or more runs in five of their six games. The Miami Marlins have lost six of their last nine games when scoring three or less runs. Starlin Castro leads the Marlins with eight hits and four RBI while Martin Prado and Lewis Brinson have combined for 13 hits and two RBI. Trevor Richards gets the ball, and he is 0-0 with a 1.50 ERA and four strikeouts this season. Richards is 0-1 with a 3.09 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the Mets.
The Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 Wednesday games, 4-1 in deGrom's last 5 starts vs. National League East and 5-2 in deGrom's last 7 road starts. The Marlins are 17-36 in their last 53 vs. National League East, 3-8 in Richards' last 11 starts and 1-5 in Richards' last 6 starts vs. National League East. The Mets are 1-4 in deGrom's last 5 road starts vs. Marlins and 1-7 in deGrom's last 8 starts vs. Marlins. The over is 6-2-2 in Richards' last 10 starts overall. The under is 21-6-2 in deGrom's last 29 starts overall.
The Marlins have had success against deGrom throughout his career, which includes a .269 batting average in 93 at bats against current hitters. The Miami Marlins have also been quite competitive to start the season despite the slow 2-4 record. Still, deGrom is one of the most consistent and best pitchers in baseball, and the Marlins have a hard time putting together offense as it is. This is a game the Mets should win rather comfortably with their ace on the hill, so I don't mind laying the heavy juice in this spot.