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Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets - 5/18/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New York Mets at Miami Marlins
Date & Time Saturday May 18, 2019, 4:10 PM (EDT)
Marlins Park
Miami, FL
The Line
New York Mets -135 / Miami Marlins +115 -- O/U: 7.5
TV Channel
FS-Florida, SNY
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The New York Mets and the Miami Marlins meet in game two of their three game NL East division set from Marlins Park in MLB action on Saturday.

The New York Mets will look to rebound after a series opening loss to the Marlins on Friday, falling by a final score of 8-6. Pete Alonso and J.D. Davis each had a home run and two RBIs with Alonso hitting a pair of solo homers. Brandon Nimmo and Juan Lagares each had an RBI to round out the Mets’ scoring as a team in the loss, while Wilson Ramos and Todd Frazier each had two hits with Frazier hitting a triple while Ramos doubled. Robinson Cano added a double of his own to cap off New York’s offense as a team in the defeat. Jacob DeGrom took the loss, falling to 3-5 on the year after allowing seven runs, six earned, on nine hits while striking out three over five innings of work. Steven Matz will start game two and is 3-2 with a 3.86 ERA and 32 strikeouts this season. In his career, Matz is 3-2 with a 2.70 ERA and 44 strikeouts against Miami.

The Miami Marlins will look to build some steam after winning game one on Friday. Jorge Alfaro had a home run and three RBIs while Garrett Cooper had two RBIs. Brian Anderson, Starlin Castro and Miguel Rojas each had an RBI with Anderson going 2 for 4 with a pair of doubles and Castro adding a two-bagger of his own. Harold Ramirez and Jon Berti each had base hits as well in the winning effort for the Fish. Trevor Richards got the win to improve to 1-5 on the year after allowing three runs on six hits while walking three and striking out four over 6.1 innings of work. Pablo Lopez will start game two and is 2-5 with a 5.93 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. In his career, Lopez is 1-1 with a 12.00 ERA and 8 strikeouts against the Mets.

New York is 7-2 in Matz’s last 9 starts and 6-1 in Matz’s last 7 division starts while the under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 games overall. Miami is 3-14 in Lopez’s last 17 starts and 0-9 in Lopez’s last 9 division starts while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall. New York is 6-0 in Matz’s last 6 starts against Miami and 4-0 in Matz’s last 4 road starts against Miami.

Of course, I back New York in game one and it’s one of the rare times that the Marlins’ bats wake up and beat up on the Mets. However, I’m going back to the well for game two on Saturday. The Mets have had a lot of success with Matz on the mound this season, and Matz has done a good job of keeping the Marlins in check in his career. Lopez’s last start saw him allow a whopping ten runs in three innings. I can understand why a lot may be weary of backing the Mets after Friday’s results, but we’ve made more money fading the Marlins than we’ve lost, and the price is pretty good so I’ll lay the juice with New York on Saturday.

New York Mets -135

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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