Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets - 7/14/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
New York Mets at Miami Marlins
Sunday, July 14, 2019 at 12:10 PM (Marlins Park)
Miami Marlins +175 / New York Mets -210
TV: FS-Florida, SNY
The New York Mets and the Miami Marlins meet in the rubber match of their three game NL East division series in MLB action from Marlins Park on Sunday.
The New York Mets will look to win the series after evening the set up at one win apiece following a 4-2 win in game two on Saturday. Michael Conforto and Robinson Cano each had a two run home run to make up New York’s scoring as a team in the victory while Jeff McNeil went 2 for 4 with a double. Ames Rosario also had two hits while Pete Alonso and Dominic Smith each chipped in a base hit to cap off the Mets’ offense in victory. Noah Syndergaard got the win to improve to 7-4 on the year after allowing just two runs on five hits while striking out nine over seven innings of work. Edwin Diaz closed out the 9th for his 20th save of the season. Jacob DeGrom will start the finale and is 4-7 with a 3.27 ERA and 138 strikeouts this season. In his career, DeGrom is 6-7 with a 3.55 ERA and 146 strikeouts against Miami.
The Miami Marlins will look to bounce back after being taken down in game two on Saturday. Jorge Alfaro had a triple and an RBI while Harold Ramirez added a double and an RBI to sum up Miami’s scoring as a team in the loss. Neil Walker and Starlin Castro each had two hits to cap off Miami’s offense as a team in the defeat. Zac Gallen gave up two runs on four hits while walking and whiffing five apiece, not factoring in the decision. Nick Anderson took the loss in relief to fall to 2-4 on the year. Sandy Alcantara will start the finale and is 4-8 with a 3.82 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season. In his career, Alcantara is 2-2 with a 2.14 ERA and 27 strikeouts against the Mets.
New York is 3-13 in DeGrom’s last 16 starts and 9-27 in their last 36 road games while the over is 4-1 in DeGrom’s last 5 road starts. Miami is 1-4 in Alcantara’s last 5 starts and 5-13 in their last 18 home games while the under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games overall. New York is 3-8 in DeGrom’s last 11 starts against Miami and 2-5 in DeGrom’s last 7 road starts against the Marlins.
DeGrom has made enough of a name for himself that he’s usually favoured in every start, home or away, and it doesn’t hurt that he’s allowed two runs or less in eight of his last nine starts. However, the Mets don’t take advantage of one of their best pitchers, dropping seven of DeGrom’s last eight starts and DeGrom’s last start against Miami saw him allow seven runs, six earned, in five innings of work. Alcantara has had his ups and downs, but his last start against the Mets was a complete game shutout and he’s got some solid career numbers against the Mets in a decent enough sample size. The Mets, despite a win on Saturday, still aren’t that great of a road team so I’ll take a shot with Miami and the heavy plus money on Sunday.