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Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 4/12/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins
Date & Time Friday April 12, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Marlins Park
Miami, Florida
The Line
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -175 / Miami Marlins +155 -- Over/Under: 7.5
TV Channel
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Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins meet Friday in MLB action at Marlins Park.

The Philadelphia Phillies look for a victory here after splitting their last eight games. The Phillies have allowed 28 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last seven games. The Philadelphia Phillies have lost four of their last five games when allowing four or more runs. Offensively, Jean Segura leads the Phillies with 14 hits and seven RBI while Odubel Herrera and Rhys Hoskins have combined for 24 hits and 19 RBI. Jake Arrieta gets the ball, and he is 1-1 with a 2.77 ERA and seven strikeouts this season. Arrieta is 5-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 47 strikeouts in his career against the Marlins.

The Miami Marlins could use a win here after losing eight of their last nine games. The Marlins have allowed 21 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in seven of their last nine games. The Miami Marlins are 1-9 this season when allowing three or more runs. Offensively, Starlin Castro leads the Marlins with 12 hits and four RBI while Martin Prado and Lewis Brinson have combined for 22 hits and four RBI. Sandy Alcantara gets the ball, and he is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA and six strikeouts this season. This will be Alcantara’s second career game against the Phillies.

The Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 games following an off day, 6-20 in their last 26 road games and 1-5 in Arrieta's last 6 starts. The Marlins are 18-40 in their last 58 vs. National League East, 2-5 in their last 7 home games and 6-20 in their last 26 during game 1 of a series. The Phillies are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Miami and 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. The under is 6-1 in Alcantara's last 7 starts overall. The under is 4-0 in Arrieta's last 4 starts overall.

Alcantara is a promising young pitcher and he's been so good this season that the Marlins are worth a look with the plus money. The problem is outside of that the Marlins have done nothing that inspires much confidence. The offense can't produce and they usually have an inning or two where they get blasted. Arrieta hasn't pitched consistently the last couple of years, but he's had success against the Marlins in his career and should have little trouble with this Marlins lineup. While Alcantara is a pitcher worth keeping a close eye on moving forward, the Phillies should cruise and be the next team to beat up on the fish.

Philadelphia Phillies -175

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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