Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 4/13/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins
Saturday, April 13, 2019 at 5:10 PM (Marlins Park)
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -155 / Miami Marlins +145 -- Over/Under: 8
TV: NSPA, FSFL
The Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins meet Saturday in MLB action at Marlins Park.
The Philadelphia Phillies look fo another win after splitting their last eight games. The Phillies have scored 16 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in nine of their first 12 games. The Philadelphia Phillies are 7-2 this season when scoring more than two runs. Jean Segura leads the Phillies with 17 hits and seven RBI while Odubel Herrera and Bryce Harper have combined for 27 hits and 15 RBI. Zach Eflin gets the ball, and he is 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. Eflin is 2-1 with a 4.26 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Marlins.
The Miami Marlins could use a win here to snap a five-game losing streak. The Marlins have allowed 16 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in eight of their last 10 games. The Miami Marlins are 1-10 this season when allowing three or more runs. Offensively, Starlin Castro leads the Marlins with 13 hits and four RBI while Martin Prado and Lewis Brinson have combined for 22 hits and four RBI. Caleb Smith gets the ball, and he is 0-0 with a 4.09 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. This will be Smith’s second career game against the Phillies.
The Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. National League East, 2-5 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series and 4-1 in Eflin's last 5 starts. The Marlins are 13-5 in their last 18 Saturday games, 2-10 in their last 12 during game 2 of a series and 4-1 in Smith's last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. The Phillies are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Miami and 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. The over is 4-1 in Smith's last 5 starts overall. The over is 4-0 in Eflin's last 4 road starts.
Eflin has been on fire out of the gate, allowing just nine hits and one run while striking out 14 batters in 12 innings. You throw that on top of the fact the Miami Marlins continue to have their issues offensively, and this should be yet another routine win for the Phillies. The Miami Marlins have to be fade material until further notice, as scoring for this team is like pulling teeth. The fish have scored a combined two runs in their last four games. I'm surprised the price on this game isn't steeper than it is currently. I'll gladly back the Philadelphia Phillies.