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Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 4/14/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins
Date & Time Sunday April 14, 2019, 1:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Marlins Park
Miami, Florida
The Line
Miami Marlins +155 / Philadelphia Phillies -175 O/U: 8.5
TV Channel
NSPA, FSFL
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Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins will match up to close out their MLB series on Sunday.

In the opener of this set Friday, the Phillies banged out a 9-1 victory. On Saturday in game two, the Marlins struck back with a 10-3 win of their own.

For the Sunday game, the Phillies will be sending out Vince Velasquez in the start. Across his 6.0 innings without a decision thus far, Velasquez has a 3.00 ERA with four Ks and zero BBs.

In Saturday’s loss, the Phillies’ Scott Kingery came through for a couple hits and a run. Nate Williams also had a solid night with two RBI.

Over on the Marlins’ side, they’re going with Jose Urena on Sunday. In his 13.2 innings and 0-3 record this year, Urena has a 9.22 ERA with 10 strikeouts and five walks.

On Saturday, the Marlins got some big contributions in key spots in their lineup. Miguel Rojas managed a double with three runs, three hits and an RBI. Adding a two-run homer and five RBI was Austin Dean.

The Phillies are 7-20 in Velasquez’s last 27 road starts and 17-36 in his last 53 starts on grass. Philadelphia is 1-7 in Velasquez’s last eight road starts versus a team with a losing record and the under is 4-0 in their last four Sunday games.

Meanwhile, the Marlins are 1-5 in their last six in game three of a series and 4-0 in Urena’s last four Sunday starts. Miami is 6-14 in Urena’s last 20 home starts and 3-10 in his last 13 starts with four days’ rest.

Things went pretty disastrously for Velasquez at the end of last year, as he tossed out 18 earned across a four-start stretch in 12.2 innings. Thus far Velasquez has looked solid, but he’s only faced the Nationals.

The thing here is, Urena was pretty great as he closed out last year, but just hasn’t had in the early-going this season. This should be an interesting pitching matchup, as there are still a lot of question marks around both guys, but I like Philly to take it.

Pick:
Philadelphia Phillies -175

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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