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Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 6/28/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins
Date & Time Friday June 28, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Marlins Park
Miami, Florida
The Line
Miami Marlins +128 / Philadephia Phillies -138 O/U: 8.5
TV Channel
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The Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins will tangle in MLB action as they open their series on Friday.

Philly is fresh off a set against the Mets. Philadelphia won the first three games of that series 13-7, 7-5 and 5-4, then on Thursday the Phillies won 6-3 to complete the sweep.

In Friday’s game, the Phillies will be going with Vince Velasquez in the start. Across his 47.0 innings and 2-4 mark this year, Velasquez has a 4.40 ERA with 54 Ks and 21 BBs.

Over on the Marlins’ side, they just finished up against the Nationals. Miami fell in the first two games there 6-1 and 7-5. In the Thursday finale the Marlins fell 8-5.

In the Friday matchup, the Marlins will be going with Elieser Hernandez for the start. In 18.2 innings and an 0-2 record this year, Hernandez has a 4.34 ERA with 19 Ks and four walks.

The Phillies are 1-4 in their last five in game one of a series and 2-5 in Velasquez’s last seven Friday starts. Philly is 7-19 in Velasquez’s last 26 road starts and 0-4 in his last four starts.

Meanwhile, the Marlins are 7-19 in their last 26 Friday games and 1-5 in their last six in game one of a series. Miami is 1-7 in Hernandez’s last eight starts and 0-4 in his last four home starts.

Velasquez had a bumpy start on June 16 in Atlanta, with 2.1 innings, four hits and four earned, but he came out solid with one earned on one hit in 5.0 innings versus the Marlins his last time out.

As for Hernandez, he’s been a little up-and-down in his trio of starts this year, but not too bad. Over 16.2 innings, he’s given up seven earned on 14 hits in total.

I like Hernandez’s potential here enough to take a chance on the Marlins, but it’s probably a coin-flip game.

Miami Marlins +128

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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