Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 8/25/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 8/25/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins

Sunday, August 25, 2019 at 12:10 PM (Marlins Park)

Philadelphia Phillies -230 / Miami Marlins +180 -- O/U: 8

TV: FS-Florida

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins meet in the rubber match of a three game NL East division set in MLB action from Marlins Park on Sunday.

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to win the series after evening the set up at one win apiece following a 9-3 win in game two on Saturday. Corey Dickerson went 4 for 5 with a pair of doubles and five RBIs while Scott Kingery had a home run, a double and three RBIs. J.T. Realmuto had an RBI to round out Philadelphia’s scoring as a team in the win. Zach Eflin went 2 for 3 with a double while Cesar Hernandez, Brad Miller and Maikel Franco each had a double as well. Jean Segura added a base hit as well to cap off Philly’s offense as a team in the winning effort. Zach Eflin got the win to improve to 8-11 on the year after allowing two runs on six hits over six innings of work. Aaron Nola will start game three and is 12-3 with a 3.51 ERA and 180 strikeouts this season. In his career, Nola is 3-5 with a 3.23 ERA and 73 strikeouts against Miami.

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The Miami Marlins will look to rebound and win the series despite dropping game two on Saturday. Jorge Alfaro went 3 for 4 with a solo home run while Jon Berti and Neil Walker each contributed an RBI to finish off Miami’s scoring in the loss. Harold Ramirez had a double while Curtis Granderson and Isan Diaz each chipped in a base hit to cap off the Marlins’ offense. Jordan Yamamoto took the loss, falling to 4-5 on the year after allowing six runs on six hits while walking four and striking out three over 3.2 innings of work. Elieser Hernandez will start game three and is 2-5 with a 5.18 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season. In his career, Hernandez is 2-0 with a 4.38 ERA and 15 strikeouts against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia is 5-1 in Nola’s last 6 road starts and 4-1 in Nola’s last 5 division starts while the over is 5-0 in their last 5 division games. Miami is 4-11 in Hernandez’s last 15 starts and 22-54 in their last 75 division games while the over is 10-1-1 in their last 12 home games against a team with a winning record. Philadelphia is 3-7 in Nola’s last 10 starts against Miami.

The plus money could be worth a look as Nola’s ERA is higher on the road and hasn’t gotten a win against the Phillies yet this season. However, Nola’s also allowed just two earned runs in 14.2 innings against the Marlins this season, and probably would’ve had more luck if he had gotten more than one run of support in each of those first two starts against Miami. Nola’s allowed two earned runs or less in 9 of his last 12 starts and given Miami’s offensive issues lately, I just don’t see Miami being able to hang with the Phillies offensively. I’ll side with the Phillies for a much needed win in the series finale and I’ll back the Phils on the RL to get the juice down a bit.

Chris’s Pick Philadelphia -1.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.