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Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays - 5/14/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins
Date & Time Tuesday May 14, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Marlins Park
Miami, FL
The Line
Tampa Bay Rays -147 / Miami Marlins +125 -- O/U: 6.5
TV Channel
FS-Florida
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Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Miami Marlins meet in game one of a mini two game set in a battle of Florida from Marlins Park on Tuesday night.

The Tampa Bay Rays will look to bounce back after dropping three of their last four games, including their series rubber match against the Yankees by a final score of 7-1. Austin Meadows went 2 for 4 with a solo home run as the lone run for the Rays in the losing effort. Ji-Man Choi went 2 for 4 at the dish while Tommy Pham, Yandy Diaz and Avisail Garcia each had base hits as well in the losing effort. Blake Snell took the loss, falling to 3-4 on the year after allowing two runs on four hits while striking out 12 over 5.2 innings of work. Charlie Morton will start game one and is 3-0 with a 2.64 ERA and 56 strikeouts this season. In his career, Morton is 6-4 with a 4.09 ERA and 56 strikeouts against Miami.

The Miami Marlins will look to pick up a win that would snap a five game losing streak after a 4-1 loss to the Mets on Saturday. Sandy Alcantara got the start and tried to help his own cause with a double and Miami’s lone RBI as a team in the losing effort. Jon Berti went 2 for 4 with a pair of doubles while Starlin Castro, Neil Walker and Harold Ramirez each added base hits as well in the defeat. Alcantara took the loss on the mound, falling to 1-4 on the year after allowing four runs on eight hits over 5.2 innings of work. Caleb Smith will start game one and is 3-0 with a 2.11 ERA and 56 strikeouts this season. This will be Smith’s second career start against Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay is 7-3 in their last 10 interleague games and 7-13 in their last 20 games against the NL East while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. Miami is 0-5 in their last 5 games overall and 1-5 in their last 6 home games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Miami.

Getting Smith on the mound for Miami is one of the few spots where the plus money could be worth a look. However, I just don’t think we are getting enough plus money to consider taking a shot with Miami given their continued offensive issues, in combination with how well Morton has pitched for the Rays and how the Rays have been playing some of the best baseball in the American League so far this season. Morton has allowed two runs or less in all but one of his starts this season, and I think we are getting a reasonable line with the better team so I’ll lay the juice with Tampa Bay in this spot.

Pick:
Tampa Bay -147

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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