Toronto Blue Jays (60-73) at Miami Marlins (53-81)
|Date & Time||Saturday September 1, 2018, 7:10 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Miami Marlins -118 / Toronto Blue Jays +108 --- Over/Under: 7.5
The Toronto Blue Jays and the Miami Marlins will be continuing their weekend MLB set at Marlins Park on Saturday.
In the Friday opener, the Jays racked up five runs in the ninth inning for a 5-0 comeback win 6-5.
For Saturday’s game, the Jays will be bringing out RHP Marco Estrada. In his 120.0 innings and 7-10 mark this year, Estrada has a 5.18 ERA with 89 Ks and 40 BBs.
Heading into this set, Justin Smoak and Kevin Pillar were tied for the Jays hits lead with 110 knocks apiece. On Friday, Pillar came up empty but Smoak slapped a ninth-inning grand slam as a pinch hitter.
Over on the Marlins’ side, they’re going with Wei-Yin Chen on Saturday. Across 106.1 innings and a 5-9 record this year, Chen has a 4.91 ERA with 85 Ks and 40 BBs.
Leading the way for the Marlins coming into this series was Starlin Castro, who brought 146 hits, 71 runs, 11 homers and 49 RBI. In the opener, Castro logged three hits, a run and an RBI.
The Jays are 6-1 in Estrada’s last seven Saturday starts and 6-2 in his last eight starts versus the NL East. Toronto is also 1-4 in Estrada’s last five starts in game two of a series and 2-7 in his last nine starts with five days’ rest.
Meanwhile, the Marlins are 6-1 in their last seven Saturday games and 4-0 in Chen’s last four starts in game two of a series. Miami is 15-6 in Chen’s last 21 home starts and 2-5 in his last seven starts versus a team with a winning record.
Estrada has been pretty sketchy over his last four starts. He’s 2-2 in that time, but has given up a combined 17 earned runs as well. As for Chen, he’s been a little more stable, going 2-1 with four earned combined across his last four starts. I’m going to go with the Marlins here.