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Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals - 4/19/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins
Date & Time Friday April 19, 2019, 7:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Nationals Park
Washington, DC
The Line
Miami Marlins +125 / Washington Nationals -147
TV Channel
FS-Florida, MASN2
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Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Nationals and the Miami Marlins meet in game one of a three game NL East division set from Marlins Park in MLB action on Friday night.

The Washington Nationals will look to build some momentum after winning their series with San Francisco after a 4-2 win in game three on Thursday. Wilmer Difo went 2 for 3 with a solo homer while Juan Soto, Ryan Zimmerman and Yan Gomes each had an RBI with Soto and Zimmerman each chipping in a double. Victor Robles, Anthony Rendon and Brian Dozier each added a two-bagger while Michael A. Taylor chipped in a base knock as well in the winning effort for the Nats. Patrick Corbin got the win to improve to 1-0 after allowing just one run on two hits while striking out nine over 7.2 innings of work. Sean Doolittle closed out the 9th for his 2nd save of the season. Anibal Sanchez will start game one and is 0-1 with a 4.86 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. In his career, Sanchez is 1-1 with a 2.91 ERA and 19 strikeouts against Miami.

The Miami Marlins are in dire need of a win after losing four straight and 13 of their last 15 games after being shut out for the second straight outing following a 6-0 loss to the Cubs in their series finale on Wednesday. Jorge Alfaro went 2 for 4 at the dish while Brian Anderson chipped in a double. Martin Prado and Isaac Galloway each had a base hit as well as the Marlins put up just five hits as a team in the losing effort. Sandy Alcantara took the loss, falling to 1-2 this season after allowing five runs on seven hits while striking out seven over six innings of work. Caleb Smith will start game one and is 1-0 with a 2.65 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. This will be Smith’s first career start against Washington.

Washington is 1-5 in their last 6 games against a left-handed starter and 5-2 in their last 7 division games while the over is 17-6 in their last 23 games overall. Miami is 0-4 in their last 4 home games and 21-52 in their last 73 games overall while the over is 5-1 in Smith’s last 6 starts. Washington is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings between these two teams and 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams in Miami.

You could make a case for Smith being the best arm in the Marlins’ rotation, but the fact is that it’s hard to win games when you don’t score runs. Miami has scored two runs or less in 8 of their last 9 games and it’s at the point where no matter what the line is against Miami, you go that way. It just so happens that we are getting a decent price to fade Miami on Friday, so I’ll do just that and lay the juice with Washington in this spot.

Pick:
Washington Nationals -147

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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