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Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals - 4/21/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins
Date & Time Sunday April 21, 2019, 1:10 PM (EDT)
Marlins Park
Miami, Florida
The Line
Miami Marlins +158 / Washington Nationals -168 O/U: 7.5
TV Channel
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The Washington Nationals and the Miami Marlins will meet up on the MLB diamond to finish their series Sunday.

The Marlins eked out a 3-2 victory in the Friday opener of this set, then on Saturday Miami peppered in runs during six of eight bottom innings in a 9-3 win.

For the Sunday game, the Nationals will be bringing out RHP Stephen Strasburg. Over his 22.2 innings and 1-1 record this season, Strasburg has a 5.56 ERA with 28 Ks and seven walks.

The Nationals put up 10 hits on Saturday, and had four players put up two hits apiece in the losing effort. Matt Adams had a good day for Washington however, with two hits and two RBI to his credit.

Over on the Marlins’ side, they’re going with Trevor Richards in the start Sunday. Across 22.2 innings and an 0-2 mark this season, Richards has a 3.57 ERA with 21 Ks and 14 BBs.

Miami ripped 11 hits as a team on Saturday, with four players notching two hits as well. Curtis Granderson was the big hitter for the Marlins, notching a solo homer with two runs and two RBI.

The Nationals are 9-2 in the last 11 in game three of a series and 29-5 in Strasburg’s last 34 Sunday starts. Washington is 68-25 in Strasburg’s last 93 starts and 40-18 in his last 58 starts in game three of a series.

Meanwhile, the Marlins are 19-39 in their last 58 in game three of a series and 1-6 in Richards’ last seven starts versus the NL East. Miami is 0-5 in Richards’ last five starts and 1-4 in his last five starts with five days’ rest.

Strasburg has been all over the place numbers-wise this year. He’s got one start with six earned in 4.0 innings, two with four earned in 6.0 innings and one great outing with 6.2 innings and zero earned.

As for Richards, he came out with a string of three straight quality starts this year but lost it on five earned in 4.2 innings versus the Cubs his last time up.

That makes this a pretty unpredictable pitching matchup, but given the lack of substance in the Marlins lineup I think Strasburg can take care of business here. I’m going Nationals, but I don’t really like the pick.

Washington Nationals -168

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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