Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds - 5/21/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers
Tuesday, May 21, 2019 at 6:40 PM (Miller Park)
Milwaukee Brewers -145 / Cincinnati Reds +125 -- O/U: 8.5
TV: FS-Ohio, FS-Wisconsin
The Cincinnati Reds and the Milwaukee Brewers meet in game one of a three game NL Central division set from Miller Park in MLB action on Tuesday night.
The Cincinnati Reds will look to bounce back after losing their series with the Dodgers, including an 8-3 loss in the series finale on Sunday. Jose Peraza had a home run and two RBIs while Derek Dietrich added an RBI of his own in the losing effort. Nick Senzel went 2 for 5 while Kyle Farmer, Jose Iglesias, Jesse Winker, Phillip Ervin and Tucker Barnhart each had base hits as well in the defeat. Tanner Roark got the win to improve to 3-3 on the year after allowing two runs on two hits while walking three and striking out seven over five innings of work. Sonny Gray will start game one and is 0-4 with a 4.30 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. This will be Gray’s second career start against Milwaukee.
The Milwaukee Brewers will look to build some momentum after salvaging a win and avoiding the sweep at the hands of Atlanta, taking the series finale on Sunday by a final score of 3-2. All of Milwaukee’s damage came via the long ball, as Christian Yelich, Keston Hiura and Ben Gamel each had solo home runs in the winning effort. Yasmani Grandal went 2 for 4 while Eric Thames and Orlando Arcia each had base hits as well in the win. Brandon Woodruff gave up two runs on five hits while striking out six over eight innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Josh Hader got the win in relief by tossing two perfect innings to improve to 1-3 this season. Gio Gonzalez will start game one and is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gonzalez is 6-3 with a 2.75 ERA and 86 strikeouts against Cincinnati.
Cincinnati is 0-4 in Gray’s last 4 road starts and 17-40 in their last 57 road games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 series opening matchups. Milwaukee is 9-2 in Gonzalez’s last 11 starts and 11-5 in their last 16 games overall while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 division games. Cincinnati is 5-16 in the last 21 meetings between these two teams and 2-6 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Milwaukee.
Cincinnati battled here and there against the Dodgers, but the fact is that this is a Reds team that’s still struggling with consistency. Milwaukee continues to play solid baseball, and that has continued with Gonzalez who has allowed two runs or less in each of his four starts for Milwaukee this season. Add in the large amount of success that the Brewers have had in this matchup, and I think you have to lay the juice with the Brewers at home here.