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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds - 6/20/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers
Date & Time Thursday June 20, 2019, 8:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Miller Park
Milwaukee, WI
The Line
Milwaukee Brewers -135 / Cincinnati Reds +115
TV Channel
FS-Ohio, FS-Wisconsin
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The Cincinnati Reds and the Milwaukee Brewers meet in game one of a four game NL Central division set in MLB action from Miller Park on Thursday.

The Cincinnati Reds will look to keep the momentum going after a 4th straight win, completing a surprising sweep of the Houston Astros with a 3-2 win in game three on Wednesday. Yasiel Puig went 2 for 4 with a solo home run and a double while Nick Senzel and Jesse Winker each had an RBI with Winker going 3 for 4 at the dish in the win. Jose Peraza went 2 for 4 with a double while Eugenio Suarez, Jose Iglesias and Kyle Farmer each had base knocks as well in the victory. Tyler Mahle gave up two runs on four hits while striking out seven over seven innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Matt Bowman got the win in relief to improve to 1-0 this season. Tanner Roark will start game one and is 4-6 with a 3.63 ERA and 74 strikeouts this season. In his career, Roark is 4-2 with a 2.96 ERA and 52 strikeouts against Milwaukee.

The Milwaukee Brewers will look to rebound after being swept by the San Diego Padres, losing five of their last six following an 8-7 loss in game three on Wednesday. Ryan Braun and Yasmani Grandal each had a home run and three RBIs with Braun going 2 for 4 with a double as well. Christian Yelich went 3 for 5 with a solo home run to round out Milwaukee’s scoring as a team in the loss while Lorenzo Cain went 2 for 5 and Ben Gamel added a base hit as well in the defeat. Zach Davies allowed five runs on nine hits while walking and whiffing three apiece over 2.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Jeremy Jeffress took the loss in relief, falling to 1-1 on the year. Jimmy Nelson will start game one and is 0-1 with a 10.29 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. In his career, Nelson is 5-4 with a 5.32 ERA and 66 strikeouts against Cincinnati.

Cincinnati is 4-1 in Roark’s last 5 road starts and 4-0 in their last 4 games overall while the under is 8-0 in their last 8 games following a win. Milwaukee is 1-5 in their last 6 games overall and 1-4 in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record while the over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 series opening matchups. Cincinnati is 1-5 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams and 6-14 in the last 20 meetings between these two teams in Milwaukee.

Roark has had his share of struggles lately, losing each of his last three starts while allowing four runs in each and getting a total of six runs of support. However, Nelson doesn’t appear to have shaken off the rust from his long layoff, giving up four earned and at least four runs in each of his first two starts of the year while failing to go more than four innings so far this year. The other difference for me is that Cincinnati is fresh off of a solid sweep of Houston and in better form than the Brewers, who just got swept by the Padres and have had trouble coming by wins lately. Milwaukee also had to travel from San Diego to make it in for this one. Seems like a good spot to take the plus money so I’ll side with Cincinnati to draw first blood on Thursday.

Pick:
Cincinnati Reds +115

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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