Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds - 6/22/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers
Saturday, June 22, 2019 at 3:10 PM (Miller Park)
Milwaukee Brewers -110 / Cincinnati Reds -110
TV: FS-Ohio, FS-Wisconsin
The Cincinnati Reds and the Milwaukee Brewers meet in game three of their four game NL Central division set from Miller Park on Saturday.
The Cincinnati Reds will look to stay hot after winning six straight, including the first two games of this series with an 11-7 win in game two on Friday. Yasiel Puig had a home run and three RBIs while Jose Iglesias, Kyle Farmer and Jose Peraza each had two RBIs with Iglesias going 4 for 5 at the dish while Peraza belted a triple. Nick Senzel went 2 for 3 with a solo home run while Curt Casali had an RBI to round out Cincinnati’s scoring as a team in the win. Michael Lorenzen added a base hit as well in the winning effort for the Reds. Sonny Gray gave up four runs on six hits while walking four and striking out six over 4.1 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. David Hernandez picked up the win in relief to improve to 2-3 this season. Luis Castillo will start game three and is 7-1 with a 2.26 ERA and 103 strikeouts this season. In his career, Castillo is 2-2 with a 3.50 ERA and 45 strikeouts against Milwaukee.
The Milwaukee Brewers will look to get on the board after dropping games one and two on Thursday and Friday respectively. Christian Yelich went 2 for 5 with a home run, a double and three RBIS while Eric Thames had two RBIs. Mike Moustakas and Orlando Arcia each had solo home runs to finish off the Brew Crew’s scoring in defeat while Lorenzo Cain went 2 for 4 and Hernan Perez had a double in the defeat. Chase Anderson gave up six runs on five hits while striking out six over five innings of work, taking the loss to 3-2 this season. Jhoulys Chacin will start game three and is 3-8 with a 5.60 ERA and 51 strikeouts this season. In his career, Chacin is 3-3 with a 3.81 ERA and 45 strikeouts against Cincinnati.
Cincinnati is 6-0 in their last 6 games overall and 5-2 in Castillo’s last 7 starts against a team with a winning record while the under is 9-1 in their last 10 games following a win. Milwaukee is 0-5 in Chacin’s last 5 starts and 0-5 in their last 5 games overall while the under is 20-7-1 in their last 28 game three matchups. Cincinnati is 8-17 in the last 25 meetings between these two teams.
If we are being 100% honest, I’m not sure why this line is as close as it is. Yes, Cincinnati is on the road and Castillo’s ERA is the highest against Milwaukee compared to any other team this season. However, we are getting nearly even money to back a red-hot Cincinnati team with their ace on the mound. Milwaukee is due to break out, but Chacin has lost each of his last five starts and can’t really be trusted here. Castillo is unbeaten on the road so far this season and I expect that to remain in tact when all is said and done here, so I’ll lay the juice with the Reds on the road in this one.