Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers
|Date & Time||Sunday June 23, 2019, 2:10 PM (EDT)|
Milwaukee Brewers -185 / Cincinnati Reds +165
The Cincinnati Reds and the Milwaukee Brewers meet in the finale of their four game NL Central division set in MLB action from Miller Park on Sunday.
The Cincinnati Reds will look to win the series after dropping game three on Saturday by a final score of 6-5. Eugenio Suarez and Yasiel Puig each had a home run and two RBIs while Derek Dietrich had a triple and an RBI to finish off Cincy’s scoring as a team in the loss. Jowy Votto had a double while Jesse Winker and Jose Peraza each contributed base hits as well in the defeat as Cincinnati mustered up just six hits in the loss. Luis Castillo took the loss, falling to 7-2 on the year after allowing six runs, four earned, on five hits while walking five and striking out six over 3.2 innings of work. Anthony DeSclafani will start the finale and is 4-3 with a 4.22 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. In his career, DeSclafani is 3-3 with a 4.59 ERA and 46 strikeouts against Milwaukee.
The Milwaukee Brewers will look to earn a series split after taking game three on Saturday. Yasmani Grandal had a home run, a double and two RBIs while Lorenzo Cain, Orlando Arcia and Travis Shaw each contributed RBIs as well in the victory. Mike Moustakas went 2 for 4 with a double to cap off the Brew Crew’s offense as Milwaukee had just five hits as a team in the win. Jhoulys Chacin allowed five runs on six hits while striking out five over 4.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Matt Albers got the win to improve to 4-2 on the year while Josh Hader finished off the final two innings for his 18th save of the campaign. Brandon Woodruff will start the finale and is 8-2 with a 4.02 ERA and 102 strikeouts this season. This will be Woodruff’s second career start against Cincinnati.
Cincinnati is 6-1 in DeSclafani’s last 7 road starts and 6-1 in their last 7 games overall while the under is 37-13-1 in their last 51 road games. Milwaukee is 16-5 in Woodruff’s last 21 starts and 1-5 in their last 6 games overall while the under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 Sunday games. Cincinnati is 1-4 in DeSclafani’s last 5 starts against Milwaukee.
The Brewers being favored at home makes sense given how well the Brewers played on Saturday and the fact that Woodruff has been one of Milwaukee’s better starting pitchers this season. However, Cincinnati has been playing some solid baseball over the last week, and DeSclafani has pitched very well, allowing just one run in each of his last three starts. Woodruff has allowed 16 runs in his last four starts spanning 23 innings of work, and if the Reds can wake up after falling just short on Saturday, I like their chances as a value pick on Sunday so I’ll take a stab at Cincinnati and the plus money here.