Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds - 7/22/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers
Monday, July 22, 2019 at 7:10 PM (Miller Park)
Milwaukee Brewers -120 / Cincinnati Reds +100
TV: FS-Ohio, FS-Wisconsin
The Cincinnati Reds and the Milwaukee Brewers meet in game one of a three game NL Central division set in MLB action from Miller Park on Monday.
The Cincinnati Reds will look to bounce back after losing their series with the Cardinals over the weekend, failing to earn a split after a 3-1 loss in Sunday’s finale. Phillip Ervin accounted for the lone RBI for Cincinnati with a solo home run in the 8th while Joey Votto went 2 for 5 and Jesse Winker added a double. Eugenio Suarez, Scooter Gennett and Anthony DESclafani each had a base hit to round out the Reds’ offense as a team in the loss. DeSclafani took the loss on the mound, falling to 5-5 on the year after allowing two runs, one earned, on four hits while striking out 11 over six innings of work. Sonny Gray will start game one and is 5-6 with a 3.40 ERA and 120 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gray is 2-0 with a 1.85 ERA and 34 strikeouts against Milwaukee.
The Milwaukee Brewers will look to keep the momentum going after winning five of their last six games, including a series win over Arizona with a 7-4 win in Sunday’s series finale. Tyler Saladino had a home run and four RBIs while Yasmani Grandal had a double and an RBI. Mike Moustakas went 2 for 5 with an RBI and Ben Gamel added an RBI as well to cap off Milwaukee’s scoring as a team in the win. Keston Hiura went 2 for 5 with a triple and a double while Orlando Arcia added a base hit as well in victory. Brandon Woodruff allowed four runs on six hits over three innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Freddy Peralta got the win to improve to 4-3 on the year while Josh Hader closed out the 9th for his 22nd save of the year. Chase Anderson will start game one and is 5-2 with a 3.96 ERA and 75 strikeouts this season. In his career, Anderson is 5-3 with a 3.80 ERA and 57 strikeouts against Cincinnati.
Cincinnati is 8-3 in Gray’s last 11 starts and 1-5 in their last 6 games overall while the under is 42-16-1 in their last 59 road games. Milwaukee is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall and 1-4 in Anderson’s last 5 starts against a team with a losing record while the over is 7-1 in their last 8 games against a right-handed starter. Milwaukee is 3-7 in Anderson’s last 10 starts against Cincinnati.
The Reds and the plus money is tempting given Gray’s recent form, allowing two runs or less in each of his last four starts and he has solid numbers against Milwaukee with a sub two ERA in four career starts. However, the Brewers appear to have woken up finally since the all-star break, and Anderson has been impressive in his own right lately, allowing two runs or less in each of his last five starts. All in all, side by side, the Brewers are simply the team in better form and getting them with a low line seems like a solid play on Monday.