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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies - 5/2/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers
Date & Time Thursday May 2, 2019, 1:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Miller Park
Milwaukee, WI
The Line
Milwaukee Brewers -120 / Colorado Rockies +106 -- O/U: 9
TV Channel
FS-Wisconsin
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Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

The Colorado Rockies and the Milwaukee Brewers meet in the finale of their four game set in MLB action from Miller Park on Thursday afternoon.

The Colorado Rockies will look to salvage a series split after taking game three on Wednesday by a final score of 11-4. Nolan Arenado led the Rockies by going 3 for 5 with a pair of home runs and four RBIs while Trevor Story had a homer and three RBIs. Tony Wolters had two RBIs while Charlie Blackmon had a double and an RBI. Raimel Tapia added a double while Ian Desmond, Ryan McMahon and Daniel Murphy each contributed base hits as well in the victory. Antonio Senzatela allowed two runs on four hits in four innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Carlos Estevez got the win in relief to improve to 1-0 this season. Jon Gray will start game four and is 2-3 with a 3.65 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gray is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 35 strikeouts against Milwaukee.

The Milwaukee Brewers will look to win the series despite dropping game three on Wednesday. Ben Gamel and Mike Moustakas each had two RBIs with Moustakas belting a home run. Travis Shaw chipped in a double while Yasmani Grandal had two hits and Lorenzo Cain and Eric Thames each had base hits as well in the losing effort for the Brew Crew. Jacob Barnes allowed three runs in an inning of work, not factoring in the decision while Corbin Burnes took the loss to fall to 0-3 on the year. Freddy Peralta will start game four and is 1-0 with a 7.13 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. In his career, Peralta is 2-0 with a 1.54 ERA and 21 strikeouts against Colorado.

Colorado is 5-1 in Gray’s last 6 road starts against a team with a winning record and 7-1 in their last 8 game four matchups while the over is 13-5-2 in Gray’s last 20 road starts. Milwaukee is 11-5 in their last 16 games against a team with a winning record and 5-2 in Peralta’s last 7 home starts while the over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 game four matchups. Colorado is 3-12 in the last 15 meetings between these two teams and 1-4 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Milwaukee.

Peralta has had success in a small sample size against Colorado in his career, but he’s also coming off of the DL and hasn’t made it out of the 4th inning in three of his four starts this season, allowing a combined 14 runs in 9.2 innings in those starts. Colorado has been up and down in their own right, but we saw on Wednesday how dynamic Colorado’s offense can be when it’s on. Gray isn’t a pitcher I try to back on a regular basis, especially on the road, but I think there’s some value to be had with the plus money and the Rockies on Thursday.

Pick:
Colorado Rockies +106

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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