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Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets - 5/3/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers
Date & Time Friday May 3, 2019, 8:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Miller Park
Milwaukee, WI
The Line
Milwaukee Brewers -123 / New York Mets +113 -- O/U: 9
TV Channel
FS-Wisconsin, SNY
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Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers meet in game one of a three game set in MLB action from Miller Park on Friday night.

The New York Mets will look to build some momentum after earning a series split with the Cincinnati Reds, taking the series finale on Thursday by a final score of 1-0. Starting pitcher Noah Syndergaard’s solo homer ended up being the difference as the only run scored in the game. Wilson Ramos had a double while Robinson Cano and Michael Conforto each had a base hit as the Mets cranked out just four hits as a team in the win. Syndergaard got the win on the mound, throwing a complete game shutout, allowing just four hits while striking out ten to improve to 2-3 this season. Steven Matz will start game one and is 3-1 with a 3.68 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. In his career, Matz is 4-1 with a 3.16 ERA and 25 strikeouts against Milwaukee.

The Milwaukee Brewers will look for a bounce back after settling for a series split with the Rockies on Thursday, dropping the finale by a final score of 11-6. Lorenzo Cain, Mike Moustakas and Ryan Braun each had two RBIs with Braun homering while Moustakas and Cain each had a double. Ben Gamel went 2 for 5 at the dish while Eric Thames and Jesus Aguilar each added base hits as well in the defeat. Freddy Peralta ended up with the loss after allowing nine runs, six earned, on eight hits over just four innings of work. Brandon Woodruff will start game one and is 3-1 with a 5.17 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season. This will be Woodruff’s seond career start against the Mets.

New York is 7-1 in Matz’s last 8 starts and 2-5 in their last 7 games against a right-handed starter while the over is 12-3-2 in their last 17 road games. Milwaukee is 5-1 in Woodruff’s last 6 home starts and 9-4 in their last 13 home games against a team with a left-handed starter while the under is 6-2 in their last 8 home games. New York is 4-1 in Matz’s last 5 starts against Milwaukee.

I can understand Milwaukee being favored at home as Woodruff got the win when he took on the Mets in his last start, holding them to one run over five innings of work. However, the Brewers have taken their foot off of the gas pedal lately and haven’t been the most consistent team in the world to back. New York earned a split on Thursday in their own series, but Matz has had a lot of success in his career against the Brewers so I think there’s value to be had with the plus money on Friday.

Pick:
New York Mets +113

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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