Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets - 5/5/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers
Sunday, May 5, 2019 at 1:10 PM (Miller Park)
The Line: New York Mets +120 / Milwaukee Brewers -130 -- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers meet Sunday in MLB action at Miller Park.
The New York Mets could use a win after losing seven of their last 10 games. The Mets hav scored five runs in their last three games and three or less runs in each of their last four games. The New York Mets are 2-10 this season when scoring three or less runs. Jeff McNeil leads the Mets with 42 hits and 13 RBI while Pete Alonso and Michael Conforto have combined for 67 hits and 41 RBI. Jason Vargas gets the ball, and he is 1-1 with a 5.75 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. Vargas is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and seven strikeouts in his career against the Brewers.
The Milwaukee Brewers look to stay hot after winning six of their last nine games. The Brewers have scored 13 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in seven of their last nine games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won five of their last seven games when scoring four or more runs. Lorenzo Cain leads the Brewers with 37 hits and 13 RBI while Christian Yelich and Mike Moustakas have combined for 66 hits and 54 RBI. Zach Davies gets the ball, and he is 3-0 with a 1.38 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. Davies is 2-2 with a 5.76 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the Mets.
The Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 Sunday games, 1-6 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series and 5-2 in Vargas' last 7 road starts. The Brewers are 9-4 in their last 13 Sunday games, 4-0 in Davies' last 4 starts with 5 days of rest and 5-2 in Davies' last 7 home starts. The Mets are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Milwaukee and 1-6 in the last 7 meetings. The under is 25-7-1 in Davies' last 33 starts overall. The over is 7-1-3 in Vargas' last 11 road starts.
I love backing teams that won the marathon game, as 18 innings take its toll on both teams, but it's a lot easier to show up to the ballpark after a victory. Losing those games after investing so much of your pitching can kill a team and have a lingering effect the next couple of days. Not to mention the Milwaukee Brewers will be waking up in their own beds for this quick turnaround. Oh, Davies hasn't been too shabby this season, which includes a 0.00 ERA at home and allowed batting average of .193 in 16 innings. I'll take the Brewers and the cheap price.