Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers
|Date & Time||Sunday May 26, 2019, 2:10 PM (EDT)|
Milwaukee Brewers -160 / Philadelphia Phillies +140
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Milwaukee Brewers meet in the finale of their three game set in MLB action from Miller Park on Sunday.
The Philadelphia Phillies will look to complete the sweep after taking game two on Saturday by a final score of 7-2. Rhys Hoskins and Cesar Hernandez each had a home run and two RBIs with Hoskins going 3 for 4 at the plate with a double as well. Andrew McCutchen and J.T. Realmuto each added a solo home run while Jean Segura chipped in an RBI of his own to round out Philly’s scoring as a team in the win. Odubel Herrera went 2 for 3 with a double while Scott Kingery and Jake Arrieta each had base hits as well in the winning effort. Jake Arrieta got the win to improve to 5-4 on the year after allowing two runs on five hits while striking out eight over eight innings of work. Zach Eflin will start game three and is 5-4 with a 2.76 ERA and 47 strikeouts this season. In his career, Eflin is 2-1 with a 3.94 ERA and 22 strikeouts against Milwaukee.
The Milwaukee Brewers will look to bounce back, salvage a win and avoid the sweep after dropping game two on Saturday. Mike Moustakas went 2 for 4 with a solo home run while Hernan Perez added an RBI of his own to round out Milwaukee’s scoring as a team in the losing effort. Christian Yelich, Eric Thames and Orlando Arcia each had base hits as well in the loss. Jhoulys Chacin took the L, falling to 3-6 on the year after allowing four runs on seven hits while walking three and striking out six over five innings of work. Brandon Woodruff will start game three and is 6-1 with a 3.51 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. In his career, Woodruff is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 8 strikeouts against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia is 2-10 in Eflin’s last 12 road starts and 7-2 in their last 9 games overall while the under is 5-1-1 in Eflin’s last 7 starts overall. Milwauke is 5-0 in Woodruff’s last 5 starts and 2-5 in their last 7 games overall while the under is 9-4 in their last 13 games against a team with a winning record. Philadelphia is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams in Milwaukee.
Milwaukee being favored at home makes sense because Woodruff has been lights out for the majority of the year, and you could make a case that he’s been Milwaukee’s best and most consistent pitcher so far this year. However, I’ve been wrong twice on the Phillies in this series and Milwaukee seems a bit overvalued in this role given how the first two games have played out. Eflin leads the Phillies in ERA and WHIP and has allowed one run or less in four of his last five starts. I’ll take a shot with Philadelphia and the plus money here.