Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants - 7/14/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers
Sunday, July 14, 2019 at 1:10 PM (Miller Park)
Over: 10 (-105) / Under: 10 (-115)
The San Francisco Giants and the Milwaukee Brewers meet in the rubber match of their three game series in MLB action from Miller Park on Sunday.
The San Francisco Giants will look to rebound after dropping game two on Saturday by a 5-4 count. Austin Slater went 2 for 2 with a double and an RBI while Stephen Vogt and Mike Yastrzemski each had an RBI as well in the victory. Buster Posey, Evan Longoria, Brandon Crawford and Donovan Solano each had base hits as well in the losing effort. Madison Bumgarner gave up just an unearned run on seven hits while striking out six over five innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Reyes Moronta ended up with the loss in relief to fall to 3-5 on the year. Tyler Beede will start game three and is 2-3 with a 5.64 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. This will be Beede’s first career start against Milwaukee.
The Milwaukee Brewers will look to win the series after evening the set up at one win apiece on Saturday. Ben Gamel, Keston Hiura and Jesus Aguilar each had a double and an RBI with Hiura and Aguilar putting up two hits. Orlando Arcia added an RBI of his own while Lorenzo Cain went 3 for 5 with a double. Mike Moustakas went 2 for 5 with a double while Ryan Braun, Manny Pina and Zach Davies each had a two-bagger as well. Christian Yelich and Eric Thames each had a base hit as well in the winning effort. Davies gave up just an unearned run on two hits while striking out five over six innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Jeremy Jeffress got the win to improve to 3-2 on the year in relief. Jhoulys Chacin will start game three and is 3-9 with a 5.40 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. In his career, Chacin is 9-7 with a 3.11 ERA and 91 strikeouts against San Francisco.
San Francisco is 4-1 in Beede’s last 5 starts and 7-2 in their last 9 games overall while the over is 9-1-1 in their last 11 road games. Milwaukee is 1-7 in Chacin’s last 8 starts and 2-8 in their last 10 games against the NL West while the over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record. San Francisco is 1-4 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Milwaukee.
I’m somewhat tempted by the Giants and the plus money given the success that San Fran has had with Beede on the mound, but I still don’t know what to expect from Beede on a daily basis and maybe Saturday was a sign that Milwaukee is ready to turn things around. On the other hand, I just don’t have much faith in Chacin as he hasn’t recorded a win since the end of April. Instead, I’m going to side with the over. Both teams are capable offensively and should be able to combine for double digit runs on Sunday.