Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 3/29/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers
Friday, March 29, 2019 at 7:10 PM (Miller Park)
Milwaukee Brewers -111 / St. Louis Cardinals -111 -- O/U: 8.5
TV: FS-Midwest, FS-Wisconsin
The St. Louis Cardinals and the Milwaukee Brewers meet in game two of their four game NL Central division set in MLB action from Miller Park on Friday night.
The St. Louis Cardinals will look to bounce back after starting the year with a 5-4 loss to the Brewers on opening day. All of St. Louis’ damage on the board came via the long ball, with Kolten Wong going 2 for 3 with a pair of home runs and three RBIs, while Harrison Bader added a solo shot. Marcell Ozuna added a base hit of his own to round out the Cardinal offense in the losing effort, with St. Louis cranking out just five hits as a team in the loss. Miles Mikolas took the loss, giving up all five runs on five hits while striking out three over five innings of work. Jack Flaherty will get the nod in game two and was 8-9 with a 3.34 ERA and 182 strikeouts last season. In his career, Flaherty is 1-1 with a 2.86 ERA and 39 strikeouts against Milwaukee.
The Milwaukee Brewers will look to build on their opening day win over St. Louis on Thursday. Like St. Louis, all of the Brew Crew’s damage on the score line was done with the ball leaving the yard, with Christian Yelich belting a three-run home run while Mike Moustakas and starting pitcher Jhoulys Chacin each had solo homers. Eric Thames, Lorenzo Cain and Ryan Braun each added a base hit as well in the winning effort for the Brewers. Chacin got the win to improve to 1-0 this season after allowing three runs on three hits while striking out seven over 5.1 innings of work. Josh Hader closed out the 8th and 9th innings for his 1st save of the season. Freddy Peralta will start game two and was 6-4 with a 4.25 ERA and 96 strikeouts last season. In his career, Peralta is 0-1 with a 3.72 ERA and 8 strikeouts against St. Louis.
St. Louis is 0-6 in Flaherty’s last 6 starts and 1-6 in their last 7 games overall while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 road games. Milwaukee is 4-1 in Peralta’s last 5 home starts and 35-16 in their last 51 games overall while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a right-handed starter. St. Louis is 1-4 in Flaherty’s last 5 starts against Milwaukee and St. Louis is 0-5 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams overall.
I swung and missed with the Cardinals yesterday, and looking at the head-to-head trends, I’m just really starting to think that Milwaukee has St. Louis’ number right now. St. Louis had no success with Flaherty on the mound near the end of last season, and while it’s a new season and that can change, I need to physically see it before restoring any faith in Flaherty and St. Louis. Peralta was solid at home last season and the Brewers appear to be picking up right where they left off, so I’ll side with the Brewers for another win on Friday.