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Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 4/17/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers
Date & Time Wednesday April 17, 2019, 1:40 PM (EDT)
Miller Park
Milwaukee, Wisconsin
The Line
Milwaukee Brewers -130 / St. Louis Cardinals +120 O/U: 9
TV Channel
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The St. Louis Cardinals and the Milwaukee Brewers will match up on the MLB diamond Wednesday to finish their series.

In the Monday opener of this set, the Brewers banged out a 10-7 victory. On Tuesday, Milwaukee made it two in a row with an 8-4 win.

For the Wednesday matchup, the Cardinals will be sending out Michael Wacha for the start. Across his 15.1 innings without a decision this year, Wacha has a 5.28 ERA with 17 Ks and 13 walks.

In the Tuesday loss, St. Louis’ Marcel Ozuna posted a two-run homer and plated a pair of runs. Yadier Molina logged two hits for the Cardinals in that one as well alongside one RBI.

Over on the Brewers’ side, they’re going with Corbin Burnes in the start Wednesday. In 14.1 innings and an 0-1 record this year, Burnes has a 10.05 ERA with 21 Ks and six walks.

In the big Tuesday win, Milwaukee’s Christian Yelich put up a three-run homer, and Yasmani Grandal put up a two run homer for the Brewers as well.

The Cardinals are 6-2 in Wacha’s last eight starts versus the NL Central and 1-4 in his last five starts. St. Louis is 1-4 in Wacha’s last five starts on grass and 2-10 in his last 12 starts in game three of a series.

Meanwhile, the Brewers are 8-2 in their last 10 in game three of a series and 20-6 in the last 26 versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The under is 5-0-1 in Milwaukee’s last six Wednesday games and 6-0 in their last six in game three of a series.

Wacha came out of the gate strong this season, putting up just two earned on seven hits across his first 11.2 innings. On April 11 versus LA however, Wacha coughed up seven earned in 3.2 innings to skew his numbers.

As for Burnes, he was okay in his debut (four earned; 5.0 innings) but has been anything but since then, with 12 earned over his last 9.1 innings.

I’m going to stick with Wacha on the bounce-back here and take the Cardinals for the win.

St. Louis Cardinals +120

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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