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Minnesota Twins vs. Atlanta Braves - 8/6/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Atlanta Braves at Minnesota Twins
Date & Time Tuesday August 6, 2019, 8:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Target Field
Minneapolis, Minnesota
The Line
Minnesota Twins -145 / Atlanta Braves +135 O/U: 10.5
TV Channel
FSN FSSE
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Ben Ludeman-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Braves and the Minnesota Twins will match up on the MLB circuit Tuesday to continue their series.

In the Monday opener of this set, The Twins put up a walk-off 5-3 victory with a two-run homer in the bottom of the ninth.

For Tuesday’s game, the Braves will send out Max Fried in the start. Over his 115.0 innings and 12-4 record this year, Fried has a 4.07 ERA with 112 Ks and 34 BBs.

Atlanta came back from 3-1 down and was in position to push the Monday game to extra innings until a Miguel Sano game-winning homer.

Over on the Twins’ side, they’re going with Jose Berrios in the start Tuesday. Across his 141.2 innings and 10-5 mark so far, Berrios has a 2.80 ERA with 133 Ks and 30 BBs.

Minnesota’s blast from Sano was set up by Max Kepler’s fifth-inning solo shot and some timely hitting from the Twins lineup. They’d finish with eight knocks on the night Monday.

The Braves are 4-11 in their last 15 Tuesday games and 7-1 in Fried’s last eight road starts. Atlanta is 8-2 in Fried’s last 10 starts and 6-0 in his las six against a team with a winning record.

Meanwhile, the Twins are 19-7 in their last 26 in game two of a series and 6-0 in Berrios’ last six Tuesday starts. Minnesota is 5-1 in Berrios’ last six starts in game two of a series and 25-9 in his last 34 home starts.

Over his last quartet of starts, Fried has two good ones (11.0 innings; one earned; seven hits; 2-0 record) and two bad ones (10.1 innings; nine earned; 18 hits; 1-1 record), but he’s won his last three outings.

As for Berrios, he’s sitting on consecutive wins and quality starts. In that span he’s given up two earned on eight hits in 14.0 innings. I like Berrios a little better here so I’m going Twins.

Pick:
Minnesota Twins -145

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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