Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles - 4/26/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins
Friday, April 26, 2019 at 7:10 PM (Target Field)
Minnesota Twins -200 / Baltimore Orioles +170 -- O/U: 9.5
TV: FS-North, MASN2
The Baltimore Orioles and the Minnesota Twins meet in game one of a three game weekend set in MLB action from Target Field on Friday night.
The Baltimore Orioles will look to build on a series victory over the White Sox, taking the rubber match by a final score of 4-3 on Wednesday. Stevie Wilkerson hit a solo home run while Rio Ruiz, Hanser Alberto and Renato Nunez each had an RBI as well, with Nunez going 2 for 4 with a double. Joey Rickard had a triple and Dwight Smith Jr. had a double while Trey Mancini added a base hit of his own in the winning effort. John Means got the win to improve to 3-2 after allowing one run on four hits while striking out six over five innings of work. Mychal Givens closed out the 8th and 9th innings for his 1st save of the season. Alex Cobb will start game one and is 0-1 with an 11.88 ERA and 6 strikeouts this season. In his career, Cobb is 2-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 22 strikeouts against Minnesota.
The Minnesota Twins will look to bounce back after losing their series with Houston, dropping the series finale by a final score of 7-1 on Wednesday. Jorge Polanco’s solo homer accounted for all of Minnesota’s scoring in the loss, while Eddie Rosario added a double and Willians Astudillo and Ehire Adrianza each had a base hit as Minny cranked out just four hits as a team in the losing effort. Kohl Stewart fell to 0-1 on the mound, giving up five runs on eight hits over six innings of work. Martin Perez will start game one and is 2-0 with a 5.31 ERA and 19 strikeouts this season. In his career, Perez is 3-4 with a 5.44 ERA and 31 strikeouts against Baltimore.
Baltimore is 8-22 in Cobb’s last 30 starts and 28-81 in their last 109 road games while the over is 6-1 in Cobb’s last 7 starts. Minnesota is 19-9 in their last 28 games overall and 35-16 in their last 51 home games while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 series opening matchups. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
Cobb has been a trainwreck to bet on dating back quite some time now, and his last start was no different, giving up nine runs in 2.2 innings to these same Twins less than a week ago. However, even with the Twins at the top of the Central division, I’m not overly comfortable laying this kind of price with Perez, who still gave up four runs on the other side of the same game on the 20th. Instead, I’m going to side with the over. It’s been a common trend when these two teams meet, and the meeting that saw Perez and Cobb face off saw 23 runs on the board when all was said and done. I think this is a game that also easily hits double digits so I’ll take the over in this one.