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Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros - 5/1/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins
Date & Time Wednesday May 1, 2019, 8:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Target Field
Minneapolis, Minnesota
The Line
Minnesota Twins +140 / Houston Astros -150 O/U: 9
TV Channel
ATSW, ESPN
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The Houston Astros and the Minnesota Twins will be picking up their MLB series on Wednesday.

In the Monday opener of this set, the Twins managed a 1-0 victory. In the Tuesday game, the Astros flipped the script with a big 11-0 win.

For Wednesday’s start, the Astros will be going with Collin McHugh. Across his 32.0 innings and 3-2 mark this season, McHugh has a 4.78 ERA with 37 Ks and 10 BBs.

Houston’s offense was working well on Tuesday. George Springer homered and put up two RBI and two runs. Michael Brantley added three hits and two runs for the Astros as well.

Over on the Twins’ side, they’re sending out Martin Perez on Wednesday. Over 26.1 innings and a 3-0 record so far, Perez has a 4.44 ERA with 23 Ks and 12 walks.

Minnesota could only muster three hits on the night Tuesday. Max Kepler had two of the three, and Jonathan Schoop put up the other.

The Astros are 5-1 in their last six in game three of a series and 54-24 in their last 78 Wednesday games. Houston is 6-2 in McHugh’s last eight Wednesday starts and 5-2 in his last seven starts in game three of a series.

Meanwhile, the Twins are 8-2 in their last 10 in game three of a series and 5-2 in their last seven Wednesday games. The under is 5-0 in Minnesota’s  last five in game three of a series and the over is 10-4 in their last 14 versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

On April 21, McHugh had a rough outing in Texas with nine earned on eight hits in just 3.1 innings, but calmed things down a bit against the Indians with three earned in 5.2 innings his last time out.

As for Perez, his strikeouts could be higher and his walks/pitch count could be lower, but more often than not he’s been turning in some solid outings. I like Perez to continue rolling here and it looks like a good value spot for Minnesota.

Pick:
Minnesota Twins +140

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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