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Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals - 6/16/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins
Date & Time Sunday June 16, 2019, 2:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Target Field
Minneapolis, MN
The Line
Minnesota Twins -180 / Kansas City Royals +160
TV Channel
FS-North, FS-Kansas City
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The Kansas City Royals and the Minnesota Twins meet in the finale of their three game AL Central division set in MLB action from Target Field on Sunday.

The Kansas City Royals will look to salvage a win and avoid the sweep after dropping the first two games of the series, following a 5-4 loss in game two on Saturday. Jorge Soler went 2 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs while Whit Merrifield went 4 for 5 with a solo home run and Lucas Duda chipped in an RBI as well to round out KC’s scoring as a team in the losing effort. Adalberto Mondesi and Nicky Lopez each chipped in base hits as well in the loss. Glenn Sparkman took the loss, falling to 1-3 on the year after allowing five runs, four earned, on five hits over five innings of work. Jakob Junis will start the finale and is 4-6 with a 5.35 ERA and 71 strikeouts this season. In his career, Junis is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 27 strikeouts against Minnesota.

The Minnesota Twins will look to complete the sweep after winning the first two games of the set following their victory on Saturday. Marwin Gonzalez went 2 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs while Max Kepler had a solo home run and Jorge Polanco and C.J. Cron each had a double and an RBI to round out Minnesota’s scoring as a team in the win. Mitch Garver and Jonathan Schoop each had base hits as well in the victory for the Twins. Jake Odorizzi got the win to improve to 10-2 after giving up four runs on seven hits while striking out seven over six innings of work. Taylor Rogers closed out the 9th for his 8th save of the season. Martin Perez will start game three and is 7-2 with a 3.97 ERA and 67 strikeouts this season. In his career, Perez is 1-0 with a 2.29 ERA and 9 strikeouts against Kansas City.

Kansas City is 4-10 in Junis’ last 14 road starts and 15-43 in their last 58 road games while the under is 4-0-2 in Junis’ last 6 starts overall. Minnesota is 7-3 in Perez’s last 10 starts and 37-15 in their last 52 games overall while the over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 game three matchups. Kansas City is 0-5 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams and 1-8 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams in Minnesota.

The plus money could be tempting with Kansas City, given how well Junis has pitched for the most part lately and given that Perez has allowed 15 runs, 12 earned, in his last three starts spanning 12.1 innings of work. However, Minnesota is heads and shoulders the better team here, and should be able to get to Junis with how well they’ve been scoring runs lately. I’ll lay the juice with the Twins in this spot for the sweep.

Pick:
Minnesota Twins -180

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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